Current forecast models and real-time observations from Madrid stations show temperatures climbing toward a peak near 31°C under clear skies, high pressure around 1025–1027 hPa, light easterly winds, and low humidity that favors strong daytime heating. With no significant cloud cover or frontal systems expected, the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C reflects uncertainty in exact afternoon maximums, as small variations in insolation or wind shifts could tip the reading. This aligns with recent warm anomalies several degrees above the 25.5°C climatological average high, though still below the 31.6°C all-time September 20 record. Final official readings from primary stations will resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月20日馬德裏氣溫最高？
31°C 50%
32°C 45%
30°C 7%
29°C <1%
$41,699 交易量
$41,699 交易量
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
50%
32°C
45%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 45%
30°C 7%
29°C <1%
$41,699 交易量
$41,699 交易量
2026-09-20
25°C或以下
$13,008 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,350 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,625 交易量
<1%
28°C
$890 交易量
1%
29°C
$1,693 交易量
1%
30°C
$3,793 交易量
7%
31°C
$7,759 交易量
50%
32°C
$7,769 交易量
45%
33°C
$1,633 交易量
1%
34°C
$1,007 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$1,173 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and real-time observations from Madrid stations show temperatures climbing toward a peak near 31°C under clear skies, high pressure around 1025–1027 hPa, light easterly winds, and low humidity that favors strong daytime heating. With no significant cloud cover or frontal systems expected, the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C reflects uncertainty in exact afternoon maximums, as small variations in insolation or wind shifts could tip the reading. This aligns with recent warm anomalies several degrees above the 25.5°C climatological average high, though still below the 31.6°C all-time September 20 record. Final official readings from primary stations will resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$41,699結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and real-time observations from Madrid stations show temperatures climbing toward a peak near 31°C under clear skies, high pressure around 1025–1027 hPa, light easterly winds, and low humidity that favors strong daytime heating. With no significant cloud cover or frontal systems expected, the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C reflects uncertainty in exact afternoon maximums, as small variations in insolation or wind shifts could tip the reading. This aligns with recent warm anomalies several degrees above the 25.5°C climatological average high, though still below the 31.6°C all-time September 20 record. Final official readings from primary stations will resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,699結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models and real-time observations from Madrid stations show temperatures climbing toward a peak near 31°C under clear skies, high pressure around 1025–1027 hPa, light easterly winds, and low humidity that favors strong daytime heating. With no significant cloud cover or frontal systems expected, the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C reflects uncertainty in exact afternoon maximums, as small variations in insolation or wind shifts could tip the reading. This aligns with recent warm anomalies several degrees above the 25.5°C climatological average high, though still below the 31.6°C all-time September 20 record. Final official readings from primary stations will resolve the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions