Recent meteorological observations and forecast consensus from regional models show stable atmospheric conditions over Qingdao on September 20, with northerly winds, moderate humidity around 60%, and partly cloudy skies supporting a daily maximum near 29°C. Official station data and short-range guidance align closely with this value, reflecting typical late-summer patterns without significant warm advection or enhanced solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects this strong alignment between surface measurements and ensemble predictions. Realistic challenges remain limited but include unexpected increases in cloud cover suppressing daytime warming or a rapid wind shift introducing warmer air, though current model runs indicate low probability of deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日青島氣溫最高？
9月20日青島氣溫最高？
29°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$105,857 交易量
$105,857 交易量
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$105,857 交易量
$105,857 交易量
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
$381 交易量
否
23°C
$41 交易量
否
24°C
$41 交易量
否
25°C
$41 交易量
否
26°C
$93 交易量
否
27°C
$3,451 交易量
否
28°C
$4,675 交易量
否
29°C
$59,234 交易量
是
30°C
$20,803 交易量
否
31°C
$10,425 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$6,671 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast consensus from regional models show stable atmospheric conditions over Qingdao on September 20, with northerly winds, moderate humidity around 60%, and partly cloudy skies supporting a daily maximum near 29°C. Official station data and short-range guidance align closely with this value, reflecting typical late-summer patterns without significant warm advection or enhanced solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects this strong alignment between surface measurements and ensemble predictions. Realistic challenges remain limited but include unexpected increases in cloud cover suppressing daytime warming or a rapid wind shift introducing warmer air, though current model runs indicate low probability of deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$105,857結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast consensus from regional models show stable atmospheric conditions over Qingdao on September 20, with northerly winds, moderate humidity around 60%, and partly cloudy skies supporting a daily maximum near 29°C. Official station data and short-range guidance align closely with this value, reflecting typical late-summer patterns without significant warm advection or enhanced solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects this strong alignment between surface measurements and ensemble predictions. Realistic challenges remain limited but include unexpected increases in cloud cover suppressing daytime warming or a rapid wind shift introducing warmer air, though current model runs indicate low probability of deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$105,857結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent meteorological observations and forecast consensus from regional models show stable atmospheric conditions over Qingdao on September 20, with northerly winds, moderate humidity around 60%, and partly cloudy skies supporting a daily maximum near 29°C. Official station data and short-range guidance align closely with this value, reflecting typical late-summer patterns without significant warm advection or enhanced solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects this strong alignment between surface measurements and ensemble predictions. Realistic challenges remain limited but include unexpected increases in cloud cover suppressing daytime warming or a rapid wind shift introducing warmer air, though current model runs indicate low probability of deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions