Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional agencies show Qingdao reaching a daily maximum of 29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds transitioning to southerly and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological baselines for late September in the Yellow Sea coastal zone, where daytime heating peaks midday before stabilizing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects verified station data and model agreement, with low uncertainty in the final hours. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap the high below this threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日青島氣溫最高？
9月21日青島氣溫最高？
29°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$65,164 交易量
$65,164 交易量
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$65,164 交易量
$65,164 交易量
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
$13,999 交易量
否
26°C
$18,698 交易量
否
27°C
$9,843 交易量
否
28°C
$5,355 交易量
否
29°C
$8,690 交易量
是
30°C
$4,856 交易量
否
31°C
$2,903 交易量
否
32°C
$555 交易量
否
33°C
$196 交易量
否
34°C
$31 交易量
否
35°C或以上
$37 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional agencies show Qingdao reaching a daily maximum of 29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds transitioning to southerly and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological baselines for late September in the Yellow Sea coastal zone, where daytime heating peaks midday before stabilizing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects verified station data and model agreement, with low uncertainty in the final hours. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap the high below this threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$65,164結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional agencies show Qingdao reaching a daily maximum of 29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds transitioning to southerly and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological baselines for late September in the Yellow Sea coastal zone, where daytime heating peaks midday before stabilizing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects verified station data and model agreement, with low uncertainty in the final hours. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap the high below this threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$65,164結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from regional agencies show Qingdao reaching a daily maximum of 29°C on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies, with light northerly winds transitioning to southerly and minimal precipitation. This aligns with climatological baselines for late September in the Yellow Sea coastal zone, where daytime heating peaks midday before stabilizing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects verified station data and model agreement, with low uncertainty in the final hours. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap the high below this threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions