Recent National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office indicate a Tuesday high near 64°F for the city, with partly sunny skies, persistent northeast breezes of 15-20 mph, and morning lows in the mid-50s, consistent with model consensus favoring 62-64°F. This places the 62-63°F and 64-65°F bins as the leading market outcomes at 47.5% and 19.0% implied probability, respectively, as traders incorporate the latest guidance showing cooler-than-average conditions driven by onshore flow off Lake Michigan. The 60-61°F range at 30.5% reflects residual uncertainty from variable cloud cover and exact peak timing, while historical September 22 averages near 73.5°F underscore the anomalous cool pattern currently priced in. Updated NWS briefings ahead of market close will likely refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月22日芝加哥的最高溫度？
62-63°F 48%
60-61°F 28%
64-65°F 20%
58-59°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
華氏53度或以下
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
48%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F或更高
<1%
62-63°F 48%
60-61°F 28%
64-65°F 20%
58-59°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
華氏53度或以下
$86 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$134 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$132 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,206 交易量
6%
60-61°F
$859 交易量
28%
62-63°F
$632 交易量
48%
64-65°F
$716 交易量
20%
66-67°F
$140 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$129 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$131 交易量
<1%
72°F或更高
$141 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office indicate a Tuesday high near 64°F for the city, with partly sunny skies, persistent northeast breezes of 15-20 mph, and morning lows in the mid-50s, consistent with model consensus favoring 62-64°F. This places the 62-63°F and 64-65°F bins as the leading market outcomes at 47.5% and 19.0% implied probability, respectively, as traders incorporate the latest guidance showing cooler-than-average conditions driven by onshore flow off Lake Michigan. The 60-61°F range at 30.5% reflects residual uncertainty from variable cloud cover and exact peak timing, while historical September 22 averages near 73.5°F underscore the anomalous cool pattern currently priced in. Updated NWS briefings ahead of market close will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,305結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office indicate a Tuesday high near 64°F for the city, with partly sunny skies, persistent northeast breezes of 15-20 mph, and morning lows in the mid-50s, consistent with model consensus favoring 62-64°F. This places the 62-63°F and 64-65°F bins as the leading market outcomes at 47.5% and 19.0% implied probability, respectively, as traders incorporate the latest guidance showing cooler-than-average conditions driven by onshore flow off Lake Michigan. The 60-61°F range at 30.5% reflects residual uncertainty from variable cloud cover and exact peak timing, while historical September 22 averages near 73.5°F underscore the anomalous cool pattern currently priced in. Updated NWS briefings ahead of market close will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,305結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office indicate a Tuesday high near 64°F for the city, with partly sunny skies, persistent northeast breezes of 15-20 mph, and morning lows in the mid-50s, consistent with model consensus favoring 62-64°F. This places the 62-63°F and 64-65°F bins as the leading market outcomes at 47.5% and 19.0% implied probability, respectively, as traders incorporate the latest guidance showing cooler-than-average conditions driven by onshore flow off Lake Michigan. The 60-61°F range at 30.5% reflects residual uncertainty from variable cloud cover and exact peak timing, while historical September 22 averages near 73.5°F underscore the anomalous cool pattern currently priced in. Updated NWS briefings ahead of market close will likely refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions