Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by cool southwesterly flow behind a frontal passage, partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating, and light winds that allow modest afternoon warming without strong mixing. This aligns with late-September climatology, where daily maxima typically range 12–16°C amid variable spring conditions. The tight market clustering around 13–14°C reflects model consensus on these factors, with slight upside risk from clearer breaks or minor warming if winds shift, while downside scenarios remain limited absent unexpected cold advection. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C 39%
13°C 28%
15°C 13%
12°C 8%
8°C或以下
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
8%
13°C
28%
14°C
39%
15°C
13%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C或以上
<1%
14°C 39%
13°C 28%
15°C 13%
12°C 8%
8°C或以下
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
8%
13°C
28%
14°C
39%
15°C
13%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 13–14°C for Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by cool southwesterly flow behind a frontal passage, partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating, and light winds that allow modest afternoon warming without strong mixing. This aligns with late-September climatology, where daily maxima typically range 12–16°C amid variable spring conditions. The tight market clustering around 13–14°C reflects model consensus on these factors, with slight upside risk from clearer breaks or minor warming if winds shift, while downside scenarios remain limited absent unexpected cold advection. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions