Current observational data from meteorological stations across Istanbul, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service reports, confirm a daily maximum of 17°C on September 23 under persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and northerly winds that limited daytime warming. Model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology featuring average highs near 23°C but tempered this year by regional atmospheric patterns. With evening temperatures already declining below the peak and official daily records nearing finalization, the market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured high. Only an unanticipated late-day spike from localized clearing or measurement revision could alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月23日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
17°C 100%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$31,973 交易量
$31,973 交易量
2026-09-23
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
17°C 100%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$31,973 交易量
$31,973 交易量
2026-09-23
12°C或以下
$418 交易量
否
13°C
$110 交易量
否
14°C
$185 交易量
否
15°C
$4,469 交易量
否
16°C
$8,873 交易量
否
17°C
$7,920 交易量
是
18°C
$2,550 交易量
否
19°C
$2,984 交易量
否
20°C
$1,675 交易量
否
21°C
$1,332 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$1,456 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from meteorological stations across Istanbul, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service reports, confirm a daily maximum of 17°C on September 23 under persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and northerly winds that limited daytime warming. Model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology featuring average highs near 23°C but tempered this year by regional atmospheric patterns. With evening temperatures already declining below the peak and official daily records nearing finalization, the market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured high. Only an unanticipated late-day spike from localized clearing or measurement revision could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$31,973結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data from meteorological stations across Istanbul, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service reports, confirm a daily maximum of 17°C on September 23 under persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and northerly winds that limited daytime warming. Model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology featuring average highs near 23°C but tempered this year by regional atmospheric patterns. With evening temperatures already declining below the peak and official daily records nearing finalization, the market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured high. Only an unanticipated late-day spike from localized clearing or measurement revision could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,973結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current observational data from meteorological stations across Istanbul, including those aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service reports, confirm a daily maximum of 17°C on September 23 under persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and northerly winds that limited daytime warming. Model consensus from GFS and regional forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology featuring average highs near 23°C but tempered this year by regional atmospheric patterns. With evening temperatures already declining below the peak and official daily records nearing finalization, the market-implied odds reflect near-certainty in the measured high. Only an unanticipated late-day spike from localized clearing or measurement revision could alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions