Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and aggregated platforms indicate a daytime maximum temperature in Istanbul around 20°C on September 24, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits afternoon warming. This consensus drives the market's 57% implied probability for 20°C as the peak, with 21°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover. September climatology averages near 23°C, but current dry air masses and modest insolation have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms without triggering stronger advection or instability. Updated model runs and official observations from stations like Atatürk Airport will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月24日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
20°C 55%
21°C 24%
19°C 15%
22°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
15%
20°C
55%
21°C
24%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
20°C 55%
21°C 24%
19°C 15%
22°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
16°C或以下
$648 交易量
<1%
17°C
$231 交易量
1%
18°C
$358 交易量
<1%
19°C
$661 交易量
15%
20°C
$1,137 交易量
55%
21°C
$1,291 交易量
24%
22°C
$1,391 交易量
3%
23°C
$844 交易量
<1%
24°C
$220 交易量
<1%
25°C
$95 交易量
<1%
26°C或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and aggregated platforms indicate a daytime maximum temperature in Istanbul around 20°C on September 24, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits afternoon warming. This consensus drives the market's 57% implied probability for 20°C as the peak, with 21°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover. September climatology averages near 23°C, but current dry air masses and modest insolation have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms without triggering stronger advection or instability. Updated model runs and official observations from stations like Atatürk Airport will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$6,891結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and aggregated platforms indicate a daytime maximum temperature in Istanbul around 20°C on September 24, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits afternoon warming. This consensus drives the market's 57% implied probability for 20°C as the peak, with 21°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover. September climatology averages near 23°C, but current dry air masses and modest insolation have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms without triggering stronger advection or instability. Updated model runs and official observations from stations like Atatürk Airport will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,891結束日期
2026-09-24市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Met Office and aggregated platforms indicate a daytime maximum temperature in Istanbul around 20°C on September 24, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits afternoon warming. This consensus drives the market's 57% implied probability for 20°C as the peak, with 21°C and 19°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer heating and cloud cover. September climatology averages near 23°C, but current dry air masses and modest insolation have suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms without triggering stronger advection or instability. Updated model runs and official observations from stations like Atatürk Airport will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions