Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a transition on September 26 as a warm air mass yields to northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover ahead of a cold front, with scattered to moderate rain expected to limit solar heating. Highs are projected near 28–30 °C, though timing of precipitation and cloud thickness could shave several degrees from peak values observed on the 25th. This setup produces tight market clustering around 27–29 °C, as traders weigh model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts against the potential for brief clear intervals to allow brief warming. Updated model runs and local observations through the 25th will refine resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月26日武漢氣溫最高?
27°C 25%
28°C 22%
30°C 19%
29°C 18%
25°C或以下
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
25%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
19%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
2%
27°C 25%
28°C 22%
30°C 19%
29°C 18%
25°C或以下
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
25%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
19%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate a transition on September 26 as a warm air mass yields to northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover ahead of a cold front, with scattered to moderate rain expected to limit solar heating. Highs are projected near 28–30 °C, though timing of precipitation and cloud thickness could shave several degrees from peak values observed on the 25th. This setup produces tight market clustering around 27–29 °C, as traders weigh model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts against the potential for brief clear intervals to allow brief warming. Updated model runs and local observations through the 25th will refine resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions