Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a rebound in maximum temperatures on September 24 after several cooler, rain-influenced days, with official guidance centering near 30°C under partly cloudy skies. Model outputs diverge modestly on the extent of clearing and southerly flow, producing the observed market spread across 29–31°C outcomes. Late-September climatology places typical daily highs near 28–29°C, so any reduction in cloud cover or lower humidity could push readings higher, while lingering moisture or weaker insolation would cap them. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月24日武漢氣溫最高?
31°C 39%
30°C 30%
29°C 18%
28°C 14%
25°C或以下
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
18%
30°C
30%
31°C
39%
32°C
9%
33°C
12%
34°C
11%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 30%
29°C 18%
28°C 14%
25°C或以下
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
18%
30°C
30%
31°C
39%
32°C
9%
33°C
12%
34°C
11%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a rebound in maximum temperatures on September 24 after several cooler, rain-influenced days, with official guidance centering near 30°C under partly cloudy skies. Model outputs diverge modestly on the extent of clearing and southerly flow, producing the observed market spread across 29–31°C outcomes. Late-September climatology places typical daily highs near 28–29°C, so any reduction in cloud cover or lower humidity could push readings higher, while lingering moisture or weaker insolation would cap them. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions