Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a warm spring day with highs likely between 25–31°C amid variable model guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered around 27–34°C. Key drivers include strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, which could enhance warming through adiabatic compression and reduced marine influence, versus earlier sea breezes or increased cloud cover that cap peaks. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global models reflect this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at established stations. The cooler shift expected by September 23 further compresses the window for extreme values above 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月22日的最高溫度？
開普敦9月22日的最高溫度？
31°C 36%
28°C 26%
34°C 25%
32°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
26°C或以下
7%
27°C
13%
28°C
26%
29°C
13%
30°C
18%
31°C
36%
32°C
23%
33°C
19%
34°C
25%
35°C
4%
36°C或以上
3%
31°C 36%
28°C 26%
34°C 25%
32°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
26°C或以下
$14 交易量
7%
27°C
$0 交易量
13%
28°C
$0 交易量
26%
29°C
$0 交易量
13%
30°C
$0 交易量
18%
31°C
$0 交易量
36%
32°C
$5 交易量
23%
33°C
$0 交易量
19%
34°C
$0 交易量
25%
35°C
$0 交易量
4%
36°C或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a warm spring day with highs likely between 25–31°C amid variable model guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered around 27–34°C. Key drivers include strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, which could enhance warming through adiabatic compression and reduced marine influence, versus earlier sea breezes or increased cloud cover that cap peaks. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global models reflect this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at established stations. The cooler shift expected by September 23 further compresses the window for extreme values above 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$19結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a warm spring day with highs likely between 25–31°C amid variable model guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered around 27–34°C. Key drivers include strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, which could enhance warming through adiabatic compression and reduced marine influence, versus earlier sea breezes or increased cloud cover that cap peaks. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global models reflect this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at established stations. The cooler shift expected by September 23 further compresses the window for extreme values above 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate a warm spring day with highs likely between 25–31°C amid variable model guidance, keeping trader probabilities clustered around 27–34°C. Key drivers include strengthening northerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front, which could enhance warming through adiabatic compression and reduced marine influence, versus earlier sea breezes or increased cloud cover that cap peaks. Ensemble spreads from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global models reflect this uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at established stations. The cooler shift expected by September 23 further compresses the window for extreme values above 34°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions