**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project a high near 89°F on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms and typical late-summer easterly flow.** High humidity and afternoon convection often cap daytime heating or produce brief cooling, creating uncertainty around the exact maximum. Recent model guidance clusters in the mid-to-upper 80s, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when Miami highs average near 88°F. The market’s heavy weighting toward 88-89°F (42% implied probability) reflects trader alignment with these official outlooks, while secondary probabilities on 86-87°F and 84-85°F capture potential for stronger storm activity or slight model cooling. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will refine timing and intensity of convection, the key variable for final recorded highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日邁阿密的最高溫度?
88-89°F 42%
84-85°F 34%
90-91°F 34%
86-87°F 26%
華氏77度或以下
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
5%
96°F或更高
3%
88-89°F 42%
84-85°F 34%
90-91°F 34%
86-87°F 26%
華氏77度或以下
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
42%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
5%
96°F或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami project a high near 89°F on September 19 amid scattered thunderstorms and typical late-summer easterly flow.** High humidity and afternoon convection often cap daytime heating or produce brief cooling, creating uncertainty around the exact maximum. Recent model guidance clusters in the mid-to-upper 80s, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September when Miami highs average near 88°F. The market’s heavy weighting toward 88-89°F (42% implied probability) reflects trader alignment with these official outlooks, while secondary probabilities on 86-87°F and 84-85°F capture potential for stronger storm activity or slight model cooling. Updated NHC and local forecast discussions through the weekend will refine timing and intensity of convection, the key variable for final recorded highs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions