**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–31°C for Beijing’s September 17 high, reflecting modest forecast spread amid stable late-summer conditions.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project a daytime maximum near 29–31°C under multi-cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and overnight lows near 19°C. Recent days have featured above-average warmth, with September 16 highs reaching 30–31°C, supporting the elevated trader consensus relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26°C. Differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small variations in cloud timing and thickness, which modulate incoming solar radiation, and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or southerly flow strength that can add or subtract 1°C. No strong frontal passage or precipitation is expected, keeping resolution sensitive to the final afternoon observation at standard stations. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 16 will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日北京最高溫度？
9月17日北京最高溫度？
31°C 30%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
16%
30°C
28%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 30%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
25°C或以下
$617 交易量
<1%
26°C
$444 交易量
1%
27°C
$680 交易量
3%
28°C
$463 交易量
7%
29°C
$784 交易量
16%
30°C
$1,150 交易量
28%
31°C
$498 交易量
30%
32°C
$2,191 交易量
16%
33°C
$400 交易量
3%
34°C
$25 交易量
2%
35°C或以上
$627 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–31°C for Beijing’s September 17 high, reflecting modest forecast spread amid stable late-summer conditions.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project a daytime maximum near 29–31°C under multi-cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and overnight lows near 19°C. Recent days have featured above-average warmth, with September 16 highs reaching 30–31°C, supporting the elevated trader consensus relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26°C. Differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small variations in cloud timing and thickness, which modulate incoming solar radiation, and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or southerly flow strength that can add or subtract 1°C. No strong frontal passage or precipitation is expected, keeping resolution sensitive to the final afternoon observation at standard stations. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 16 will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,879結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–31°C for Beijing’s September 17 high, reflecting modest forecast spread amid stable late-summer conditions.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project a daytime maximum near 29–31°C under multi-cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and overnight lows near 19°C. Recent days have featured above-average warmth, with September 16 highs reaching 30–31°C, supporting the elevated trader consensus relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26°C. Differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small variations in cloud timing and thickness, which modulate incoming solar radiation, and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or southerly flow strength that can add or subtract 1°C. No strong frontal passage or precipitation is expected, keeping resolution sensitive to the final afternoon observation at standard stations. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 16 will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,879結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–31°C for Beijing’s September 17 high, reflecting modest forecast spread amid stable late-summer conditions.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently project a daytime maximum near 29–31°C under multi-cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and overnight lows near 19°C. Recent days have featured above-average warmth, with September 16 highs reaching 30–31°C, supporting the elevated trader consensus relative to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26°C. Differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small variations in cloud timing and thickness, which modulate incoming solar radiation, and subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or southerly flow strength that can add or subtract 1°C. No strong frontal passage or precipitation is expected, keeping resolution sensitive to the final afternoon observation at standard stations. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 16 will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions