**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 16 highest temperature centers on the tight contest between 28°C (47.0%) and 29°C (47.5%), reflecting near-even market-implied odds amid real-time observational data and model consensus.** As of midday on September 16, 2026, Korea Meteorological Administration stations recorded temperatures climbing to 27.9°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–16 mph. This places the peak within reach of the leading outcomes, consistent with afternoon warming under mostly sunny conditions and low precipitation chances. Multiple forecasts (GFS-based and others) project daily highs of 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), aligning closely with historical September averages near 26°C for the region, while current readings suggest the upper end of that range is achievable. The near-50/50 split between 28°C and 29°C stems from minor differences in model guidance on peak timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Northeast flow and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) limit extreme heating, but clear afternoon skies support additional warming of 1–2°C from midday levels. Lower-probability tails (30°C at 3.0% or below 27°C) reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations, such as unexpected clearing or increased marine influence. Updated observations and evening verification will resolve the market, with traders weighting official station maxima most heavily.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日釜山的最高溫度？
9月16日釜山的最高溫度？
28°C 60%
29°C 43%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
最新
$23,503 交易量
最新
$23,503 交易量
2026-09-16
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
54%
29°C
43%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 60%
29°C 43%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
最新
$23,503 交易量
最新
$23,503 交易量
2026-09-16
23°C或以下
$2,214 交易量
<1%
24°C
$551 交易量
<1%
25°C
$61 交易量
<1%
26°C
$715 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,979 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6,114 交易量
54%
29°C
$4,397 交易量
43%
30°C
$2,564 交易量
2%
31°C
$1,010 交易量
1%
32°C
$908 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$1,990 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 16 highest temperature centers on the tight contest between 28°C (47.0%) and 29°C (47.5%), reflecting near-even market-implied odds amid real-time observational data and model consensus.**
As of midday on September 16, 2026, Korea Meteorological Administration stations recorded temperatures climbing to 27.9°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–16 mph. This places the peak within reach of the leading outcomes, consistent with afternoon warming under mostly sunny conditions and low precipitation chances. Multiple forecasts (GFS-based and others) project daily highs of 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), aligning closely with historical September averages near 26°C for the region, while current readings suggest the upper end of that range is achievable.
The near-50/50 split between 28°C and 29°C stems from minor differences in model guidance on peak timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Northeast flow and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) limit extreme heating, but clear afternoon skies support additional warming of 1–2°C from midday levels. Lower-probability tails (30°C at 3.0% or below 27°C) reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations, such as unexpected clearing or increased marine influence. Updated observations and evening verification will resolve the market, with traders weighting official station maxima most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$23,503結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 16 highest temperature centers on the tight contest between 28°C (47.0%) and 29°C (47.5%), reflecting near-even market-implied odds amid real-time observational data and model consensus.**
As of midday on September 16, 2026, Korea Meteorological Administration stations recorded temperatures climbing to 27.9°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–16 mph. This places the peak within reach of the leading outcomes, consistent with afternoon warming under mostly sunny conditions and low precipitation chances. Multiple forecasts (GFS-based and others) project daily highs of 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), aligning closely with historical September averages near 26°C for the region, while current readings suggest the upper end of that range is achievable.
The near-50/50 split between 28°C and 29°C stems from minor differences in model guidance on peak timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Northeast flow and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) limit extreme heating, but clear afternoon skies support additional warming of 1–2°C from midday levels. Lower-probability tails (30°C at 3.0% or below 27°C) reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations, such as unexpected clearing or increased marine influence. Updated observations and evening verification will resolve the market, with traders weighting official station maxima most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,503結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 16 highest temperature centers on the tight contest between 28°C (47.0%) and 29°C (47.5%), reflecting near-even market-implied odds amid real-time observational data and model consensus.** As of midday on September 16, 2026, Korea Meteorological Administration stations recorded temperatures climbing to 27.9°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 10–16 mph. This places the peak within reach of the leading outcomes, consistent with afternoon warming under mostly sunny conditions and low precipitation chances. Multiple forecasts (GFS-based and others) project daily highs of 26–27°C (roughly 79–81°F), aligning closely with historical September averages near 26°C for the region, while current readings suggest the upper end of that range is achievable. The near-50/50 split between 28°C and 29°C stems from minor differences in model guidance on peak timing, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing. Northeast flow and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) limit extreme heating, but clear afternoon skies support additional warming of 1–2°C from midday levels. Lower-probability tails (30°C at 3.0% or below 27°C) reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations, such as unexpected clearing or increased marine influence. Updated observations and evening verification will resolve the market, with traders weighting official station maxima most heavily.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions