Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions sunny high-pressure conditions with light northerly flow to drive Seattle's September 17 high into the mid-70s, underpinning the market's 50.5% implied probability on 74-75°F. Stable ridging and minimal cloud cover support afternoon temperatures near 75°F, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent runs showing little day-to-day shift. Lower-probability bins around 72-73°F or 76-77°F reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized marine influences. Updated short-range model outputs and official forecast discussions expected through September 16 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日西雅圖的最高溫度？
9月17日西雅圖的最高溫度？
74-75°F 51%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
78-79°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
華氏65度或以下
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
51%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
4%
82-83華氏度
3%
84°F或以上
4%
74-75°F 51%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
78-79°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
華氏65度或以下
$0 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
3%
68-69°F
$109 交易量
4%
70-71°F
$123 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$354 交易量
22%
74-75°F
$296 交易量
51%
76-77°F
$294 交易量
24%
78-79°F
$84 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
4%
82-83華氏度
$0 交易量
3%
84°F或以上
$506 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions sunny high-pressure conditions with light northerly flow to drive Seattle's September 17 high into the mid-70s, underpinning the market's 50.5% implied probability on 74-75°F. Stable ridging and minimal cloud cover support afternoon temperatures near 75°F, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent runs showing little day-to-day shift. Lower-probability bins around 72-73°F or 76-77°F reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized marine influences. Updated short-range model outputs and official forecast discussions expected through September 16 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,766結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 7:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions sunny high-pressure conditions with light northerly flow to drive Seattle's September 17 high into the mid-70s, underpinning the market's 50.5% implied probability on 74-75°F. Stable ridging and minimal cloud cover support afternoon temperatures near 75°F, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent runs showing little day-to-day shift. Lower-probability bins around 72-73°F or 76-77°F reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized marine influences. Updated short-range model outputs and official forecast discussions expected through September 16 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,766結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 7:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions sunny high-pressure conditions with light northerly flow to drive Seattle's September 17 high into the mid-70s, underpinning the market's 50.5% implied probability on 74-75°F. Stable ridging and minimal cloud cover support afternoon temperatures near 75°F, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September and recent runs showing little day-to-day shift. Lower-probability bins around 72-73°F or 76-77°F reflect residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized marine influences. Updated short-range model outputs and official forecast discussions expected through September 16 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions