Recent European forecast models point to a peak temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by a warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system that favors afternoon thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier storms could cap readings near 24°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a 27°C spike. This setup sits above the September climatological mean of roughly 19°C, yet model spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Traders are closely watching updated runs from ECMWF and the German Weather Service for refinements on convective timing and boundary-layer moisture before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日慕尼黑最高溫度？
9月16日慕尼黑最高溫度？
26°C 28%
25°C 25%
27°C 25%
24°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
23°C或以下
5%
24°C
20%
25°C
25%
26°C
28%
27°C
25%
28°C
8%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
1%
26°C 28%
25°C 25%
27°C 25%
24°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
23°C或以下
$132 交易量
5%
24°C
$0 交易量
20%
25°C
$187 交易量
25%
26°C
$77 交易量
28%
27°C
$164 交易量
25%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$15 交易量
6%
30°C
$5 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C
$10 交易量
1%
33°C或以上
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models point to a peak temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by a warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system that favors afternoon thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier storms could cap readings near 24°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a 27°C spike. This setup sits above the September climatological mean of roughly 19°C, yet model spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Traders are closely watching updated runs from ECMWF and the German Weather Service for refinements on convective timing and boundary-layer moisture before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$600結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European forecast models point to a peak temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by a warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system that favors afternoon thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier storms could cap readings near 24°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a 27°C spike. This setup sits above the September climatological mean of roughly 19°C, yet model spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Traders are closely watching updated runs from ECMWF and the German Weather Service for refinements on convective timing and boundary-layer moisture before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$600結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent European forecast models point to a peak temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on September 16, driven by a warm, moist southwesterly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system that favors afternoon thunderstorms. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce the main uncertainty, as earlier or heavier storms could cap readings near 24°C while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a 27°C spike. This setup sits above the September climatological mean of roughly 19°C, yet model spread remains narrow given the short lead time. Traders are closely watching updated runs from ECMWF and the German Weather Service for refinements on convective timing and boundary-layer moisture before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions