**Forecast consensus for Wuhan's September 14 high centers on 31–33°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Multiple models project a maximum near 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity around 50–60%, with low rain chances (under 10–25% in most runs). This reflects seasonal patterns where daytime solar heating peaks before autumn cooling sets in, tempered by regional high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Slight differences among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of cloud cover increases, wind shifts that could enhance mixing or moisture advection, and model variations in boundary-layer temperature. Current runs show no strong consensus on exceeding 33°C or dropping below 31°C, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered as new model updates and observational data approach resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日武漢氣溫最高？
9月14日武漢氣溫最高？
32°C 35%
31°C 27%
33°C 19%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
27°C或以下
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
27%
32°C
35%
33°C
19%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
32°C 35%
31°C 27%
33°C 19%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
6%
30°C
$59 交易量
12%
31°C
$34 交易量
27%
32°C
$5 交易量
35%
33°C
$231 交易量
19%
34°C
$43 交易量
10%
35°C
$0 交易量
3%
36°C
$125 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$275 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Wuhan's September 14 high centers on 31–33°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Multiple models project a maximum near 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity around 50–60%, with low rain chances (under 10–25% in most runs). This reflects seasonal patterns where daytime solar heating peaks before autumn cooling sets in, tempered by regional high pressure and minimal frontal activity.
Slight differences among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of cloud cover increases, wind shifts that could enhance mixing or moisture advection, and model variations in boundary-layer temperature. Current runs show no strong consensus on exceeding 33°C or dropping below 31°C, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered as new model updates and observational data approach resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$772結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Wuhan's September 14 high centers on 31–33°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Multiple models project a maximum near 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity around 50–60%, with low rain chances (under 10–25% in most runs). This reflects seasonal patterns where daytime solar heating peaks before autumn cooling sets in, tempered by regional high pressure and minimal frontal activity.
Slight differences among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of cloud cover increases, wind shifts that could enhance mixing or moisture advection, and model variations in boundary-layer temperature. Current runs show no strong consensus on exceeding 33°C or dropping below 31°C, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered as new model updates and observational data approach resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$772結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Forecast consensus for Wuhan's September 14 high centers on 31–33°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Multiple models project a maximum near 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity around 50–60%, with low rain chances (under 10–25% in most runs). This reflects seasonal patterns where daytime solar heating peaks before autumn cooling sets in, tempered by regional high pressure and minimal frontal activity. Slight differences among 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of cloud cover increases, wind shifts that could enhance mixing or moisture advection, and model variations in boundary-layer temperature. Current runs show no strong consensus on exceeding 33°C or dropping below 31°C, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered as new model updates and observational data approach resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions