**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with light rain and northeast winds that limited daytime heating.** Recent model runs and station data align closely with this value, reflecting typical early-September conditions near the seasonal average of roughly 23–25°C and showing no late surge from clearer skies or southerly flow. The market’s near-certain pricing for 23°C reflects real-time verification of recorded highs across central Tokyo stations, with minimal dispersion in official reports. Only an unusually large post-observation correction or station-specific discrepancy would shift the outcome, though current data consistency makes such revisions improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日東京氣溫最高？
9月12日東京氣溫最高？
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,381 交易量
$38,381 交易量
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$38,381 交易量
$38,381 交易量
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
$1,108 交易量
否
19°C
$1,226 交易量
否
20°C
$1,255 交易量
否
21°C
$2,169 交易量
否
22°C
$4,396 交易量
否
23°C
$8,878 交易量
是
24°C
$4,199 交易量
否
25°C
$4,893 交易量
否
26°C
$3,845 交易量
否
27°C
$3,669 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$2,743 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with light rain and northeast winds that limited daytime heating.** Recent model runs and station data align closely with this value, reflecting typical early-September conditions near the seasonal average of roughly 23–25°C and showing no late surge from clearer skies or southerly flow. The market’s near-certain pricing for 23°C reflects real-time verification of recorded highs across central Tokyo stations, with minimal dispersion in official reports. Only an unusually large post-observation correction or station-specific discrepancy would shift the outcome, though current data consistency makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$38,381結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with light rain and northeast winds that limited daytime heating.** Recent model runs and station data align closely with this value, reflecting typical early-September conditions near the seasonal average of roughly 23–25°C and showing no late surge from clearer skies or southerly flow. The market’s near-certain pricing for 23°C reflects real-time verification of recorded highs across central Tokyo stations, with minimal dispersion in official reports. Only an unusually large post-observation correction or station-specific discrepancy would shift the outcome, though current data consistency makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,381結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm a daily maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with light rain and northeast winds that limited daytime heating.** Recent model runs and station data align closely with this value, reflecting typical early-September conditions near the seasonal average of roughly 23–25°C and showing no late surge from clearer skies or southerly flow. The market’s near-certain pricing for 23°C reflects real-time verification of recorded highs across central Tokyo stations, with minimal dispersion in official reports. Only an unusually large post-observation correction or station-specific discrepancy would shift the outcome, though current data consistency makes such revisions improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions