**Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Madrid on September 16, 2026, most likely peaking near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market's strong consensus on those outcomes, reflecting real-time aggregation of official guidance showing highs around 26–28°C (roughly 78–83°F), consistent with seasonal norms of about 26.4°C for the date. Recent observations note a cooling trend from earlier September warmth, with low precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting further warming. Traders are weighting these data-driven projections heavily, as updated model runs and agency briefings provide the key inputs for resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月16日馬德裏氣溫最高？
28°C 40%
27°C 30%
29°C 19%
26°C或以下 10.1%
$35,311 交易量
$35,311 交易量
2026-09-16
26°C或以下
10%
27°C
30%
28°C
40%
29°C
19%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
28°C 40%
27°C 30%
29°C 19%
26°C或以下 10.1%
$35,311 交易量
$35,311 交易量
2026-09-16
26°C或以下
$3,178 交易量
10%
27°C
$4,230 交易量
30%
28°C
$6,341 交易量
40%
29°C
$7,660 交易量
19%
30°C
$6,584 交易量
4%
31°C
$3,126 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,709 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,719 交易量
<1%
34°C
$279 交易量
<1%
35°C
$373 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$112 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Madrid on September 16, 2026, most likely peaking near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds.**
This aligns with the market's strong consensus on those outcomes, reflecting real-time aggregation of official guidance showing highs around 26–28°C (roughly 78–83°F), consistent with seasonal norms of about 26.4°C for the date. Recent observations note a cooling trend from earlier September warmth, with low precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting further warming. Traders are weighting these data-driven projections heavily, as updated model runs and agency briefings provide the key inputs for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$35,311結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Madrid on September 16, 2026, most likely peaking near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds.**
This aligns with the market's strong consensus on those outcomes, reflecting real-time aggregation of official guidance showing highs around 26–28°C (roughly 78–83°F), consistent with seasonal norms of about 26.4°C for the date. Recent observations note a cooling trend from earlier September warmth, with low precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting further warming. Traders are weighting these data-driven projections heavily, as updated model runs and agency briefings provide the key inputs for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,311結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Madrid on September 16, 2026, most likely peaking near 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds.** This aligns with the market's strong consensus on those outcomes, reflecting real-time aggregation of official guidance showing highs around 26–28°C (roughly 78–83°F), consistent with seasonal norms of about 26.4°C for the date. Recent observations note a cooling trend from earlier September warmth, with low precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions limiting further warming. Traders are weighting these data-driven projections heavily, as updated model runs and agency briefings provide the key inputs for resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions