Recent model consensus from sources including GFS data and national forecasters indicates a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, driven by moderate westerly to southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances. This setup limits diurnal heating compared to clearer conditions while preventing significant cooling, aligning closely with the late-September climatological average high near 18.9°C. Trader positioning favoring 19°C slightly over 18°C reflects minor forecast spread in afternoon peaks, with minimal probability assigned to outliers due to stable guidance and no major model shifts in the past 24–48 hours. Final official observations from KNMI or equivalent will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月18日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
19°C 59%
18°C 41%
20°C 3%
17°C 3%
最新
$10,866 交易量
最新
$10,866 交易量
2026-09-18
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
41%
19°C
59%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
19°C 59%
18°C 41%
20°C 3%
17°C 3%
最新
$10,866 交易量
最新
$10,866 交易量
2026-09-18
13°C或以下
$149 交易量
<1%
14°C
$149 交易量
<1%
15°C
$229 交易量
<1%
16°C
$154 交易量
<1%
17°C
$910 交易量
3%
18°C
$2,839 交易量
41%
19°C
$4,055 交易量
59%
20°C
$1,187 交易量
3%
21°C
$472 交易量
<1%
22°C
$149 交易量
<1%
23°C或以上
$789 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS data and national forecasters indicates a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, driven by moderate westerly to southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances. This setup limits diurnal heating compared to clearer conditions while preventing significant cooling, aligning closely with the late-September climatological average high near 18.9°C. Trader positioning favoring 19°C slightly over 18°C reflects minor forecast spread in afternoon peaks, with minimal probability assigned to outliers due to stable guidance and no major model shifts in the past 24–48 hours. Final official observations from KNMI or equivalent will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$10,866結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS data and national forecasters indicates a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, driven by moderate westerly to southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances. This setup limits diurnal heating compared to clearer conditions while preventing significant cooling, aligning closely with the late-September climatological average high near 18.9°C. Trader positioning favoring 19°C slightly over 18°C reflects minor forecast spread in afternoon peaks, with minimal probability assigned to outliers due to stable guidance and no major model shifts in the past 24–48 hours. Final official observations from KNMI or equivalent will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,866結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including GFS data and national forecasters indicates a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 18, driven by moderate westerly to southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly to partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances. This setup limits diurnal heating compared to clearer conditions while preventing significant cooling, aligning closely with the late-September climatological average high near 18.9°C. Trader positioning favoring 19°C slightly over 18°C reflects minor forecast spread in afternoon peaks, with minimal probability assigned to outliers due to stable guidance and no major model shifts in the past 24–48 hours. Final official observations from KNMI or equivalent will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions