The onset of Chongqing’s autumn rainy season around September 15 is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 21–23 °C for the September 17 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, with multiple official and model forecasts showing highs of 21–25 °C under mostly overcast skies and dew points near 19–20 °C. Historical September climatology (average high ~27 °C) is being suppressed by this early-season moisture surge, which also increases the chance of embedded heavier cells that could briefly cool the boundary layer further. Minor differences among global and regional models in rain timing or any brief afternoon breaks explain the tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C contracts; traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration update for any shift in the 24-hour rainfall or wind forecasts that could nudge the realized peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日重慶氣溫最高？
9月17日重慶氣溫最高？
23°C 27%
21°C或以下 26%
22°C 24%
24°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
26%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
23°C 27%
21°C或以下 26%
22°C 24%
24°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
$2,517 交易量
26%
22°C
$836 交易量
24%
23°C
$598 交易量
27%
24°C
$829 交易量
16%
25°C
$512 交易量
6%
26°C
$580 交易量
3%
27°C
$69 交易量
1%
28°C
$544 交易量
1%
29°C
$111 交易量
<1%
30°C
$31 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$171 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The onset of Chongqing’s autumn rainy season around September 15 is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 21–23 °C for the September 17 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, with multiple official and model forecasts showing highs of 21–25 °C under mostly overcast skies and dew points near 19–20 °C. Historical September climatology (average high ~27 °C) is being suppressed by this early-season moisture surge, which also increases the chance of embedded heavier cells that could briefly cool the boundary layer further. Minor differences among global and regional models in rain timing or any brief afternoon breaks explain the tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C contracts; traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration update for any shift in the 24-hour rainfall or wind forecasts that could nudge the realized peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,798結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The onset of Chongqing’s autumn rainy season around September 15 is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 21–23 °C for the September 17 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, with multiple official and model forecasts showing highs of 21–25 °C under mostly overcast skies and dew points near 19–20 °C. Historical September climatology (average high ~27 °C) is being suppressed by this early-season moisture surge, which also increases the chance of embedded heavier cells that could briefly cool the boundary layer further. Minor differences among global and regional models in rain timing or any brief afternoon breaks explain the tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C contracts; traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration update for any shift in the 24-hour rainfall or wind forecasts that could nudge the realized peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,798結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThe onset of Chongqing’s autumn rainy season around September 15 is the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 21–23 °C for the September 17 daily maximum. Persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow are limiting daytime heating, with multiple official and model forecasts showing highs of 21–25 °C under mostly overcast skies and dew points near 19–20 °C. Historical September climatology (average high ~27 °C) is being suppressed by this early-season moisture surge, which also increases the chance of embedded heavier cells that could briefly cool the boundary layer further. Minor differences among global and regional models in rain timing or any brief afternoon breaks explain the tight spread between the 21 °C-or-below, 22 °C, and 23 °C contracts; traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration update for any shift in the 24-hour rainfall or wind forecasts that could nudge the realized peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions