**Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover from the southwest monsoon and easterlies are the main drivers keeping Manila's September 16 high temperature closely contested between 31–33°C in trader pricing.** PAGASA forecasts partly cloudy to cloudy skies with localized thunderstorms likely across Metro Manila, which can limit peak solar heating and cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Breaks in convection or delayed storm development could allow brief clearing and push readings to 32°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor 31°C or lower. High humidity and light winds further moderate extremes, consistent with wet-season patterns. Updated PAGASA bulletins and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月16日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
32°C 40%
31°C 27%
33°C 27%
30°C 6%
最新
$27,825 交易量
最新
$27,825 交易量
2026-09-16
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
6%
31°C
27%
32°C
40%
33°C
27%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 27%
33°C 27%
30°C 6%
最新
$27,825 交易量
最新
$27,825 交易量
2026-09-16
26°C或以下
$377 交易量
<1%
27°C
$804 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,382 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,819 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,259 交易量
6%
31°C
$6,245 交易量
27%
32°C
$5,555 交易量
40%
33°C
$6,042 交易量
27%
34°C
$1,614 交易量
2%
35°C
$497 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$231 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover from the southwest monsoon and easterlies are the main drivers keeping Manila's September 16 high temperature closely contested between 31–33°C in trader pricing.** PAGASA forecasts partly cloudy to cloudy skies with localized thunderstorms likely across Metro Manila, which can limit peak solar heating and cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Breaks in convection or delayed storm development could allow brief clearing and push readings to 32°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor 31°C or lower. High humidity and light winds further moderate extremes, consistent with wet-season patterns. Updated PAGASA bulletins and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$27,825結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover from the southwest monsoon and easterlies are the main drivers keeping Manila's September 16 high temperature closely contested between 31–33°C in trader pricing.** PAGASA forecasts partly cloudy to cloudy skies with localized thunderstorms likely across Metro Manila, which can limit peak solar heating and cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Breaks in convection or delayed storm development could allow brief clearing and push readings to 32°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor 31°C or lower. High humidity and light winds further moderate extremes, consistent with wet-season patterns. Updated PAGASA bulletins and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,825結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover from the southwest monsoon and easterlies are the main drivers keeping Manila's September 16 high temperature closely contested between 31–33°C in trader pricing.** PAGASA forecasts partly cloudy to cloudy skies with localized thunderstorms likely across Metro Manila, which can limit peak solar heating and cap daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Breaks in convection or delayed storm development could allow brief clearing and push readings to 32°C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor 31°C or lower. High humidity and light winds further moderate extremes, consistent with wet-season patterns. Updated PAGASA bulletins and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions