Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for central Texas on September 17, 2026, indicates a daytime high in the upper 90s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and a modest 15-20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of late-summer high-pressure ridging and elevated dew points near 75°F, support peak readings near 96–99°F while limiting stronger heating. Heat-index values may reach 109°F, but actual air temperature remains the resolution metric. Minor model spread around cloud cover and convective timing creates the narrow edge for 98–99°F (48% implied probability) over 96–97°F, with lower odds on 100°F+ outcomes if skies clear more than expected. Updated afternoon observations will refine the final high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月17日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 4%
$12,926 交易量
$12,926 交易量
2026-09-17
85°F或以下
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93華氏度
3%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
1%
104°F 或更高
<1%
98-99°F 50%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 4%
$12,926 交易量
$12,926 交易量
2026-09-17
85°F或以下
$654 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$292 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$548 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$240 交易量
1%
92-93華氏度
$337 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$2,873 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$3,468 交易量
37%
98-99°F
$1,648 交易量
50%
100-101°F
$1,792 交易量
10%
102-103°F
$314 交易量
1%
104°F 或更高
$759 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for central Texas on September 17, 2026, indicates a daytime high in the upper 90s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and a modest 15-20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of late-summer high-pressure ridging and elevated dew points near 75°F, support peak readings near 96–99°F while limiting stronger heating. Heat-index values may reach 109°F, but actual air temperature remains the resolution metric. Minor model spread around cloud cover and convective timing creates the narrow edge for 98–99°F (48% implied probability) over 96–97°F, with lower odds on 100°F+ outcomes if skies clear more than expected. Updated afternoon observations will refine the final high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,926結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for central Texas on September 17, 2026, indicates a daytime high in the upper 90s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and a modest 15-20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of late-summer high-pressure ridging and elevated dew points near 75°F, support peak readings near 96–99°F while limiting stronger heating. Heat-index values may reach 109°F, but actual air temperature remains the resolution metric. Minor model spread around cloud cover and convective timing creates the narrow edge for 98–99°F (48% implied probability) over 96–97°F, with lower odds on 100°F+ outcomes if skies clear more than expected. Updated afternoon observations will refine the final high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,926結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for central Texas on September 17, 2026, indicates a daytime high in the upper 90s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and a modest 15-20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of late-summer high-pressure ridging and elevated dew points near 75°F, support peak readings near 96–99°F while limiting stronger heating. Heat-index values may reach 109°F, but actual air temperature remains the resolution metric. Minor model spread around cloud cover and convective timing creates the narrow edge for 98–99°F (48% implied probability) over 96–97°F, with lower odds on 100°F+ outcomes if skies clear more than expected. Updated afternoon observations will refine the final high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions