National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 17 project a daytime high near 81–83°F under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s strong preference for the 82–83°F bin. Seasonal cooling after peak summer, combined with persistent cloud cover and a modest chance of showers by evening, limits strong surface heating and keeps maximum temperatures from climbing into the mid-80s. Model consensus shows little disagreement on this range, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky conditions to push readings higher. Recent observations confirm morning temperatures in the low 70s rising gradually, supporting trader consensus around the low-80s outcome while leaving modest probability for slight upward or downward revisions based on final cloud and precipitation trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月17日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月17日的最高溫度？
82-83°F 60%
80-81華氏度 20%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 5%
$33,551 交易量
$33,551 交易量
2026-09-17
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
5%
80-81華氏度
20%
82-83°F
60%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
82-83°F 60%
80-81華氏度 20%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 5%
$33,551 交易量
$33,551 交易量
2026-09-17
華氏71度或以下
$218 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$402 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$468 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,191 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$5,674 交易量
5%
80-81華氏度
$8,134 交易量
20%
82-83°F
$7,363 交易量
60%
84-85°F
$7,019 交易量
16%
86-87°F
$1,325 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$306 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或以上
$453 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 17 project a daytime high near 81–83°F under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s strong preference for the 82–83°F bin. Seasonal cooling after peak summer, combined with persistent cloud cover and a modest chance of showers by evening, limits strong surface heating and keeps maximum temperatures from climbing into the mid-80s. Model consensus shows little disagreement on this range, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky conditions to push readings higher. Recent observations confirm morning temperatures in the low 70s rising gradually, supporting trader consensus around the low-80s outcome while leaving modest probability for slight upward or downward revisions based on final cloud and precipitation trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$33,551結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 17 project a daytime high near 81–83°F under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s strong preference for the 82–83°F bin. Seasonal cooling after peak summer, combined with persistent cloud cover and a modest chance of showers by evening, limits strong surface heating and keeps maximum temperatures from climbing into the mid-80s. Model consensus shows little disagreement on this range, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky conditions to push readings higher. Recent observations confirm morning temperatures in the low 70s rising gradually, supporting trader consensus around the low-80s outcome while leaving modest probability for slight upward or downward revisions based on final cloud and precipitation trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,551結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 17 project a daytime high near 81–83°F under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s strong preference for the 82–83°F bin. Seasonal cooling after peak summer, combined with persistent cloud cover and a modest chance of showers by evening, limits strong surface heating and keeps maximum temperatures from climbing into the mid-80s. Model consensus shows little disagreement on this range, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky conditions to push readings higher. Recent observations confirm morning temperatures in the low 70s rising gradually, supporting trader consensus around the low-80s outcome while leaving modest probability for slight upward or downward revisions based on final cloud and precipitation trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions