Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicates a high near 81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that clear skies and advect a cooler but still mild air mass. This setup favors diurnal heating into the low 80s under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the 75.6°F historical average high yet well below late-summer extremes. Trader positioning reflects this agreement, concentrating implied probability on the 80–81°F range with limited dispersion to adjacent bins, as model runs show minimal spread and no signals for stronger warming or unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through the morning of the 18th will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月18日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月18日的最高溫度？
80-81°F 63%
82-83°F 20%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 2%
最新
$13,808 交易量
最新
$13,808 交易量
2026-09-18
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
63%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或更高
<1%
80-81°F 63%
82-83°F 20%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 2%
最新
$13,808 交易量
最新
$13,808 交易量
2026-09-18
華氏71度或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$444 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$423 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$189 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$3,544 交易量
19%
80-81°F
$3,159 交易量
63%
82-83°F
$2,781 交易量
20%
84-85°F
$944 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$1,264 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$183 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或更高
$767 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicates a high near 81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that clear skies and advect a cooler but still mild air mass. This setup favors diurnal heating into the low 80s under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the 75.6°F historical average high yet well below late-summer extremes. Trader positioning reflects this agreement, concentrating implied probability on the 80–81°F range with limited dispersion to adjacent bins, as model runs show minimal spread and no signals for stronger warming or unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through the morning of the 18th will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$13,808結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicates a high near 81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that clear skies and advect a cooler but still mild air mass. This setup favors diurnal heating into the low 80s under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the 75.6°F historical average high yet well below late-summer extremes. Trader positioning reflects this agreement, concentrating implied probability on the 80–81°F range with limited dispersion to adjacent bins, as model runs show minimal spread and no signals for stronger warming or unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through the morning of the 18th will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,808結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETForecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicates a high near 81°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly winds behind a frontal passage that clear skies and advect a cooler but still mild air mass. This setup favors diurnal heating into the low 80s under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with seasonal norms slightly above the 75.6°F historical average high yet well below late-summer extremes. Trader positioning reflects this agreement, concentrating implied probability on the 80–81°F range with limited dispersion to adjacent bins, as model runs show minimal spread and no signals for stronger warming or unexpected cooling. Updated guidance through the morning of the 18th will refine any final adjustments ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions