Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show persistent rainfall and northerly winds associated with a cold air mass suppressing daytime warming in Wuhan, keeping the daily maximum near 21°C. Official model guidance and real-time observations indicate overcast skies with high humidity and precipitation limiting solar heating, consistent with historical patterns for mid-September under similar synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 21°C reflects this strong alignment across updated model runs, with only narrow uncertainty from timing of any brief clearing. A later-than-expected end to heavy rain or localized warming in sheltered areas could push readings to 22°C, though current atmospheric data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日武漢氣溫最高？
9月17日武漢氣溫最高？
21°C 99.8%
20°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$120,035 交易量
$120,035 交易量
2026-09-17
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
21°C 99.8%
20°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$120,035 交易量
$120,035 交易量
2026-09-17
20°C或以下
$79,402 交易量
<1%
21°C
$13,591 交易量
100%
22°C
$7,512 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,430 交易量
<1%
24°C
$6,016 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,116 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,124 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,066 交易量
<1%
28°C
$253 交易量
<1%
29°C
$263 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$263 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show persistent rainfall and northerly winds associated with a cold air mass suppressing daytime warming in Wuhan, keeping the daily maximum near 21°C. Official model guidance and real-time observations indicate overcast skies with high humidity and precipitation limiting solar heating, consistent with historical patterns for mid-September under similar synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 21°C reflects this strong alignment across updated model runs, with only narrow uncertainty from timing of any brief clearing. A later-than-expected end to heavy rain or localized warming in sheltered areas could push readings to 22°C, though current atmospheric data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$120,035結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies show persistent rainfall and northerly winds associated with a cold air mass suppressing daytime warming in Wuhan, keeping the daily maximum near 21°C. Official model guidance and real-time observations indicate overcast skies with high humidity and precipitation limiting solar heating, consistent with historical patterns for mid-September under similar synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 21°C reflects this strong alignment across updated model runs, with only narrow uncertainty from timing of any brief clearing. A later-than-expected end to heavy rain or localized warming in sheltered areas could push readings to 22°C, though current atmospheric data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$120,035結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies show persistent rainfall and northerly winds associated with a cold air mass suppressing daytime warming in Wuhan, keeping the daily maximum near 21°C. Official model guidance and real-time observations indicate overcast skies with high humidity and precipitation limiting solar heating, consistent with historical patterns for mid-September under similar synoptic conditions. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 21°C reflects this strong alignment across updated model runs, with only narrow uncertainty from timing of any brief clearing. A later-than-expected end to heavy rain or localized warming in sheltered areas could push readings to 22°C, though current atmospheric data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions