**Recent cooling from a high-altitude low trough and weak cold air advection has positioned Wuhan for a maximum temperature near 24°C on September 18, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) indicate overcast skies, light rain or drizzle potential, and northerly winds of 2–4 m/s, which limit daytime heating and keep the peak in the 24–27°C range. Multiple station and ensemble outputs cluster around 24–25°C as the most probable high, with 24°C carrying the dominant market-implied probability of 89%. This aligns with the observed cooling trend since mid-September, when prior highs exceeded 30°C before the current frontal influence suppressed temperatures. Historical September baselines in Wuhan average closer to 28°C, but the active weather pattern and high humidity (often >80%) further moderate extremes. As the day advances, updated observational data from local stations will refine the exact peak, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing readings toward 25–26°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日武漢氣溫最高？
9月18日武漢氣溫最高？
24°C 96%
25°C 4%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
$34,548 交易量
$34,548 交易量
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
96%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 96%
25°C 4%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
$34,548 交易量
$34,548 交易量
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$2,724 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,197 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,706 交易量
<1%
23°C
$11,147 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5,070 交易量
96%
25°C
$4,637 交易量
4%
26°C
$2,780 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,269 交易量
<1%
28°C
$728 交易量
<1%
29°C
$238 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$53 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooling from a high-altitude low trough and weak cold air advection has positioned Wuhan for a maximum temperature near 24°C on September 18, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) indicate overcast skies, light rain or drizzle potential, and northerly winds of 2–4 m/s, which limit daytime heating and keep the peak in the 24–27°C range. Multiple station and ensemble outputs cluster around 24–25°C as the most probable high, with 24°C carrying the dominant market-implied probability of 89%.
This aligns with the observed cooling trend since mid-September, when prior highs exceeded 30°C before the current frontal influence suppressed temperatures. Historical September baselines in Wuhan average closer to 28°C, but the active weather pattern and high humidity (often >80%) further moderate extremes. As the day advances, updated observational data from local stations will refine the exact peak, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing readings toward 25–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$34,548結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooling from a high-altitude low trough and weak cold air advection has positioned Wuhan for a maximum temperature near 24°C on September 18, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) indicate overcast skies, light rain or drizzle potential, and northerly winds of 2–4 m/s, which limit daytime heating and keep the peak in the 24–27°C range. Multiple station and ensemble outputs cluster around 24–25°C as the most probable high, with 24°C carrying the dominant market-implied probability of 89%.
This aligns with the observed cooling trend since mid-September, when prior highs exceeded 30°C before the current frontal influence suppressed temperatures. Historical September baselines in Wuhan average closer to 28°C, but the active weather pattern and high humidity (often >80%) further moderate extremes. As the day advances, updated observational data from local stations will refine the exact peak, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing readings toward 25–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,548結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Recent cooling from a high-altitude low trough and weak cold air advection has positioned Wuhan for a maximum temperature near 24°C on September 18, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) indicate overcast skies, light rain or drizzle potential, and northerly winds of 2–4 m/s, which limit daytime heating and keep the peak in the 24–27°C range. Multiple station and ensemble outputs cluster around 24–25°C as the most probable high, with 24°C carrying the dominant market-implied probability of 89%. This aligns with the observed cooling trend since mid-September, when prior highs exceeded 30°C before the current frontal influence suppressed temperatures. Historical September baselines in Wuhan average closer to 28°C, but the active weather pattern and high humidity (often >80%) further moderate extremes. As the day advances, updated observational data from local stations will refine the exact peak, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing readings toward 25–26°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions