Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 18, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southeasterly flow that limits daytime heating during the seasonal transition. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (37.5%) and 28°C (25%), as traders weigh the probability of modest cooling against historical September maxima near 27–30°C. Recent observations on September 17 showing highs around 30°C under partly cloudy skies support expectations of a slight decline tomorrow, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid typical model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日北京最高溫度？
9月18日北京最高溫度？
29°C 37%
28°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 11%
最新
$10,796 交易量
最新
$10,796 交易量
2026-09-18
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
25%
29°C
37%
30°C
18%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C或以上
1%
29°C 37%
28°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 11%
最新
$10,796 交易量
最新
$10,796 交易量
2026-09-18
23°C或以下
$1,279 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,643 交易量
<1%
25°C
$803 交易量
1%
26°C
$395 交易量
3%
27°C
$1,399 交易量
11%
28°C
$1,279 交易量
25%
29°C
$1,400 交易量
37%
30°C
$1,015 交易量
18%
31°C
$446 交易量
6%
32°C
$434 交易量
2%
33°C或以上
$703 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 18, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southeasterly flow that limits daytime heating during the seasonal transition. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (37.5%) and 28°C (25%), as traders weigh the probability of modest cooling against historical September maxima near 27–30°C. Recent observations on September 17 showing highs around 30°C under partly cloudy skies support expectations of a slight decline tomorrow, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid typical model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,796結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 18, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southeasterly flow that limits daytime heating during the seasonal transition. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (37.5%) and 28°C (25%), as traders weigh the probability of modest cooling against historical September maxima near 27–30°C. Recent observations on September 17 showing highs around 30°C under partly cloudy skies support expectations of a slight decline tomorrow, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid typical model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,796結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 18, driven by increasing cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southeasterly flow that limits daytime heating during the seasonal transition. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C (37.5%) and 28°C (25%), as traders weigh the probability of modest cooling against historical September maxima near 27–30°C. Recent observations on September 17 showing highs around 30°C under partly cloudy skies support expectations of a slight decline tomorrow, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid typical model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions