Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 17 under overcast or partly cloudy skies with a chance of light rain and easterly flow. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the region’s humid subtropical climate, suppress strong daytime heating while maintaining moderate humidity levels around 60%. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering near 28°C and only modest upside risk from clearer intervals or downside from earlier precipitation, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日上海最高溫度？
9月17日上海最高溫度？
28°C 55%
29°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 4%
最新
$17,211 交易量
最新
$17,211 交易量
2026-09-17
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
18%
28°C
55%
29°C
25%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
28°C 55%
29°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 4%
最新
$17,211 交易量
最新
$17,211 交易量
2026-09-17
25°C或以下
$199 交易量
<1%
26°C
$986 交易量
2%
27°C
$5,774 交易量
18%
28°C
$3,254 交易量
55%
29°C
$3,256 交易量
25%
30°C
$1,222 交易量
4%
31°C
$1,145 交易量
1%
32°C
$675 交易量
<1%
33°C
$308 交易量
<1%
34°C
$196 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$196 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 17 under overcast or partly cloudy skies with a chance of light rain and easterly flow. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the region’s humid subtropical climate, suppress strong daytime heating while maintaining moderate humidity levels around 60%. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering near 28°C and only modest upside risk from clearer intervals or downside from earlier precipitation, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$17,211結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 17 under overcast or partly cloudy skies with a chance of light rain and easterly flow. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the region’s humid subtropical climate, suppress strong daytime heating while maintaining moderate humidity levels around 60%. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering near 28°C and only modest upside risk from clearer intervals or downside from earlier precipitation, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,211結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 17 under overcast or partly cloudy skies with a chance of light rain and easterly flow. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the region’s humid subtropical climate, suppress strong daytime heating while maintaining moderate humidity levels around 60%. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering near 28°C and only modest upside risk from clearer intervals or downside from earlier precipitation, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C and 29°C. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions