Official forecasts for Shanghai on September 16, 2026, indicate a high near 29–30°C under overcast to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions influenced by regional atmospheric patterns, though cloud cover and modest onshore flow may cap peak readings slightly below earlier model runs. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 28°C outcome at 66% implied probability, incorporates uncertainty around exact maximum measurements from official stations, recent hourly trends showing afternoon peaks near 29°C, and minor model variations that could shift the final recorded value between 27°C and 29°C. Upcoming official daily summaries will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日上海最高溫度?
28°C 64%
27°C 17%
29°C 15%
26°C <1%
$34,231 交易量
$34,231 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
17%
28°C
64%
29°C
15%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 64%
27°C 17%
29°C 15%
26°C <1%
$34,231 交易量
$34,231 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
17%
28°C
64%
29°C
15%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts for Shanghai on September 16, 2026, indicate a high near 29–30°C under overcast to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and moderate humidity. This aligns with typical mid-September conditions influenced by regional atmospheric patterns, though cloud cover and modest onshore flow may cap peak readings slightly below earlier model runs. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 28°C outcome at 66% implied probability, incorporates uncertainty around exact maximum measurements from official stations, recent hourly trends showing afternoon peaks near 29°C, and minor model variations that could shift the final recorded value between 27°C and 29°C. Upcoming official daily summaries will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions