Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City on September 15 point to a high near 71–72°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, following Monday’s 75°F reading. Northerly flow early in the period is expected to moderate temperatures below late-summer climatological norms, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk limiting upward revisions. This alignment of deterministic and ensemble guidance has concentrated trader positioning on the 72–73°F bin at 66% implied probability, while the 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes capture residual spread in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer details. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月15日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月15日的最高溫度？
72-73°F 67%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 11%
68-69°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏63度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
67%
74-75°F
11%
76-77華氏度
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或以上
<1%
72-73°F 67%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 11%
68-69°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
華氏63度或以下
$38 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$452 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$278 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$495 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$1,663 交易量
22%
72-73°F
$2,862 交易量
67%
74-75°F
$2,091 交易量
11%
76-77華氏度
$1,058 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$695 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$198 交易量
<1%
82°F或以上
$38 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City on September 15 point to a high near 71–72°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, following Monday’s 75°F reading. Northerly flow early in the period is expected to moderate temperatures below late-summer climatological norms, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk limiting upward revisions. This alignment of deterministic and ensemble guidance has concentrated trader positioning on the 72–73°F bin at 66% implied probability, while the 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes capture residual spread in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer details. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
交易量
$9,867結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City on September 15 point to a high near 71–72°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, following Monday’s 75°F reading. Northerly flow early in the period is expected to moderate temperatures below late-summer climatological norms, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk limiting upward revisions. This alignment of deterministic and ensemble guidance has concentrated trader positioning on the 72–73°F bin at 66% implied probability, while the 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes capture residual spread in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer details. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,867結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for New York City on September 15 point to a high near 71–72°F under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, following Monday’s 75°F reading. Northerly flow early in the period is expected to moderate temperatures below late-summer climatological norms, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk limiting upward revisions. This alignment of deterministic and ensemble guidance has concentrated trader positioning on the 72–73°F bin at 66% implied probability, while the 70–71°F and 74–75°F outcomes capture residual spread in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer details. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions