Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show only modest day-to-day variability in the Sichuan basin. Recent surface observations indicate near-normal late-summer warmth with dew points near 20°C and light southerly flow, while the retreat of the East Asian monsoon brings occasional afternoon convective clouds that limit insolation and cap afternoon highs. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage account for the narrow spread between the 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes; drier, clearer scenarios support the lower-probability 28–29°C tails. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日成都最高溫度？
9月14日成都最高溫度？
27°C 26%
26°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
17%
26°C
23%
27°C
26%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
27°C 26%
26°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
$101 交易量
4%
23°C
$7 交易量
7%
24°C
$36 交易量
11%
25°C
$6 交易量
17%
26°C
$15 交易量
23%
27°C
$104 交易量
26%
28°C
$0 交易量
11%
29°C
$5 交易量
5%
30°C
$0 交易量
3%
31°C
$115 交易量
1%
32°C或更高
$127 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show only modest day-to-day variability in the Sichuan basin. Recent surface observations indicate near-normal late-summer warmth with dew points near 20°C and light southerly flow, while the retreat of the East Asian monsoon brings occasional afternoon convective clouds that limit insolation and cap afternoon highs. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage account for the narrow spread between the 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes; drier, clearer scenarios support the lower-probability 28–29°C tails. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$516結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's September 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show only modest day-to-day variability in the Sichuan basin. Recent surface observations indicate near-normal late-summer warmth with dew points near 20°C and light southerly flow, while the retreat of the East Asian monsoon brings occasional afternoon convective clouds that limit insolation and cap afternoon highs. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage account for the narrow spread between the 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes; drier, clearer scenarios support the lower-probability 28–29°C tails. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$516結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader sentiment for Chengdu's September 14 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 25–27°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show only modest day-to-day variability in the Sichuan basin. Recent surface observations indicate near-normal late-summer warmth with dew points near 20°C and light southerly flow, while the retreat of the East Asian monsoon brings occasional afternoon convective clouds that limit insolation and cap afternoon highs. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage account for the narrow spread between the 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes; drier, clearer scenarios support the lower-probability 28–29°C tails. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions