**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C high in Chengdu today (September 13, 2026), with 95% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources.** Official and ensemble models, including those aligned with agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international providers, project a daytime maximum near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F). This stems from persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain or showers, and moderate humidity levels typical of the Sichuan basin in mid-September. Afternoon observations and short-range guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius before cooling overnight, consistent with seasonal baselines around 24–27°C highs and limited solar insolation due to overcast conditions. The narrow spread—only 4.9% on 27°C and negligible odds elsewhere—indicates high model agreement and low expected variability. A realistic challenge to the 26°C outcome would require faster-than-forecast clearing of clouds or reduced precipitation, allowing greater surface heating and pushing readings into the upper 20s. Updated model runs or real-time station data later today could still shift sentiment if conditions deviate from current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日成都最高溫度？
9月13日成都最高溫度？
26°C 73%
27°C 16.6%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,674 交易量
$56,674 交易量
2026-09-13
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
84%
27°C
17%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 73%
27°C 16.6%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
$56,674 交易量
$56,674 交易量
2026-09-13
20°C或以下
$3,248 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,571 交易量
<1%
22°C
$4,977 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,262 交易量
<1%
24°C
$11,849 交易量
<1%
25°C
$8,100 交易量
<1%
26°C
$7,455 交易量
84%
27°C
$5,450 交易量
17%
28°C
$5,162 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,333 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$1,268 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C high in Chengdu today (September 13, 2026), with 95% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources.**
Official and ensemble models, including those aligned with agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international providers, project a daytime maximum near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F). This stems from persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain or showers, and moderate humidity levels typical of the Sichuan basin in mid-September. Afternoon observations and short-range guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius before cooling overnight, consistent with seasonal baselines around 24–27°C highs and limited solar insolation due to overcast conditions.
The narrow spread—only 4.9% on 27°C and negligible odds elsewhere—indicates high model agreement and low expected variability. A realistic challenge to the 26°C outcome would require faster-than-forecast clearing of clouds or reduced precipitation, allowing greater surface heating and pushing readings into the upper 20s. Updated model runs or real-time station data later today could still shift sentiment if conditions deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$56,674結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C high in Chengdu today (September 13, 2026), with 95% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources.**
Official and ensemble models, including those aligned with agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international providers, project a daytime maximum near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F). This stems from persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain or showers, and moderate humidity levels typical of the Sichuan basin in mid-September. Afternoon observations and short-range guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius before cooling overnight, consistent with seasonal baselines around 24–27°C highs and limited solar insolation due to overcast conditions.
The narrow spread—only 4.9% on 27°C and negligible odds elsewhere—indicates high model agreement and low expected variability. A realistic challenge to the 26°C outcome would require faster-than-forecast clearing of clouds or reduced precipitation, allowing greater surface heating and pushing readings into the upper 20s. Updated model runs or real-time station data later today could still shift sentiment if conditions deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$56,674結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C high in Chengdu today (September 13, 2026), with 95% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources.** Official and ensemble models, including those aligned with agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international providers, project a daytime maximum near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F). This stems from persistent cloud cover, periods of light rain or showers, and moderate humidity levels typical of the Sichuan basin in mid-September. Afternoon observations and short-range guidance show temperatures peaking in the mid-20s Celsius before cooling overnight, consistent with seasonal baselines around 24–27°C highs and limited solar insolation due to overcast conditions. The narrow spread—only 4.9% on 27°C and negligible odds elsewhere—indicates high model agreement and low expected variability. A realistic challenge to the 26°C outcome would require faster-than-forecast clearing of clouds or reduced precipitation, allowing greater surface heating and pushing readings into the upper 20s. Updated model runs or real-time station data later today could still shift sentiment if conditions deviate from current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions