Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns show Shenzhen reaching a daily maximum of 32°C on September 13 amid easterly flow, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered thunderstorms that cap further warming. Multiple runs, including those aligned with observed conditions of 28-31°C by afternoon, converge on this threshold as the peak, consistent with seasonal norms for the region where highs typically range 30-33°C in mid-September. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this model agreement and real-time observations. A shift in steering winds or reduced cloud cover could allow readings above 32°C, while heavier localized rain might hold the maximum lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日深圳最高溫度？
9月13日深圳最高溫度？
32°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$61,629 交易量
$61,629 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$61,629 交易量
$61,629 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
$1,922 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,330 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,628 交易量
<1%
29°C
$18,404 交易量
<1%
30°C
$10,805 交易量
<1%
31°C
$5,678 交易量
<1%
32°C
$7,889 交易量
100%
33°C
$6,536 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,764 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,458 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns show Shenzhen reaching a daily maximum of 32°C on September 13 amid easterly flow, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered thunderstorms that cap further warming. Multiple runs, including those aligned with observed conditions of 28-31°C by afternoon, converge on this threshold as the peak, consistent with seasonal norms for the region where highs typically range 30-33°C in mid-September. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this model agreement and real-time observations. A shift in steering winds or reduced cloud cover could allow readings above 32°C, while heavier localized rain might hold the maximum lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$61,629結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns show Shenzhen reaching a daily maximum of 32°C on September 13 amid easterly flow, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered thunderstorms that cap further warming. Multiple runs, including those aligned with observed conditions of 28-31°C by afternoon, converge on this threshold as the peak, consistent with seasonal norms for the region where highs typically range 30-33°C in mid-September. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this model agreement and real-time observations. A shift in steering winds or reduced cloud cover could allow readings above 32°C, while heavier localized rain might hold the maximum lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$61,629結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns show Shenzhen reaching a daily maximum of 32°C on September 13 amid easterly flow, high humidity near 70-80%, and scattered thunderstorms that cap further warming. Multiple runs, including those aligned with observed conditions of 28-31°C by afternoon, converge on this threshold as the peak, consistent with seasonal norms for the region where highs typically range 30-33°C in mid-September. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this model agreement and real-time observations. A shift in steering winds or reduced cloud cover could allow readings above 32°C, while heavier localized rain might hold the maximum lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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