The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日上海最高溫度？
9月13日上海最高溫度？
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,942 交易量
$68,942 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,942 交易量
$68,942 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
$1,995 交易量
否
27°C
$6,411 交易量
否
28°C
$17,197 交易量
否
29°C
$13,183 交易量
是
30°C
$14,895 交易量
否
31°C
$9,824 交易量
否
32°C
$4,905 交易量
否
33°C
$145 交易量
否
34°C
$106 交易量
否
35°C
$143 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$138 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$68,942結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$68,942結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions