**Market-implied odds for Seattle’s September 15 highest temperature cluster tightly in the mid-60s, reflecting short-range model consensus and current synoptic conditions.** Multiple forecasts, including WindBorne Systems and regional outlooks, project a high near 64–67°F under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle. Northerly or northwesterly flow off the cooler Pacific waters, combined with lingering marine layer moisture, limits daytime heating and prevents the stronger solar warming that would push readings toward the historical average high of ~71°F. Recent days have featured similar mild, overcast conditions with highs in the mid- to upper 60s, and no significant warm-air advection or clearing is expected overnight. Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport will determine the exact maximum; any unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger onshore breeze could shift the outcome within the narrow 64–67°F range that currently dominates trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日西雅圖的最高溫度?
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 31%
62-63°F 13%
68-69華氏度 13%
華氏57度或以下
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
31%
68-69華氏度
13%
70-71華氏度
4%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F或以上
<1%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 31%
62-63°F 13%
68-69華氏度 13%
華氏57度或以下
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
31%
68-69華氏度
13%
70-71華氏度
4%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Market-implied odds for Seattle’s September 15 highest temperature cluster tightly in the mid-60s, reflecting short-range model consensus and current synoptic conditions.** Multiple forecasts, including WindBorne Systems and regional outlooks, project a high near 64–67°F under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle. Northerly or northwesterly flow off the cooler Pacific waters, combined with lingering marine layer moisture, limits daytime heating and prevents the stronger solar warming that would push readings toward the historical average high of ~71°F. Recent days have featured similar mild, overcast conditions with highs in the mid- to upper 60s, and no significant warm-air advection or clearing is expected overnight. Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport will determine the exact maximum; any unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger onshore breeze could shift the outcome within the narrow 64–67°F range that currently dominates trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions