**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass have kept Chongqing's maximum temperature at or below 23°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's near-certain pricing on the 23°C-or-below outcome.** Official forecasts from sources such as Yr and local meteorological updates show daytime highs capped near 23°C under overcast conditions with minimal solar heating, consistent with seasonal transition patterns where September averages in the region decline from summer peaks. Real-time observations and model consensus reinforce this, with dew points and humidity supporting limited warming. The market-implied odds reflect trader confidence in verified station data over any outlier model runs projecting brief spikes. A late-day measurement revision or localized heat island effect could theoretically alter the recorded maximum, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日重慶氣溫最高？
9月14日重慶氣溫最高？
23°C或以下 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,870 交易量
$28,870 交易量
2026-09-14
23°C或以下
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
23°C或以下 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,870 交易量
$28,870 交易量
2026-09-14
23°C或以下
$8,127 交易量
是
24°C
$3,722 交易量
否
25°C
$3,274 交易量
否
26°C
$3,969 交易量
否
27°C
$2,031 交易量
否
28°C
$1,143 交易量
否
29°C
$1,847 交易量
否
30°C
$1,283 交易量
否
31°C
$2,819 交易量
否
32°C
$501 交易量
否
33°C或更高
$153 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass have kept Chongqing's maximum temperature at or below 23°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's near-certain pricing on the 23°C-or-below outcome.** Official forecasts from sources such as Yr and local meteorological updates show daytime highs capped near 23°C under overcast conditions with minimal solar heating, consistent with seasonal transition patterns where September averages in the region decline from summer peaks. Real-time observations and model consensus reinforce this, with dew points and humidity supporting limited warming. The market-implied odds reflect trader confidence in verified station data over any outlier model runs projecting brief spikes. A late-day measurement revision or localized heat island effect could theoretically alter the recorded maximum, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$28,870結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass have kept Chongqing's maximum temperature at or below 23°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's near-certain pricing on the 23°C-or-below outcome.** Official forecasts from sources such as Yr and local meteorological updates show daytime highs capped near 23°C under overcast conditions with minimal solar heating, consistent with seasonal transition patterns where September averages in the region decline from summer peaks. Real-time observations and model consensus reinforce this, with dew points and humidity supporting limited warming. The market-implied odds reflect trader confidence in verified station data over any outlier model runs projecting brief spikes. A late-day measurement revision or localized heat island effect could theoretically alter the recorded maximum, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,870結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
**Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass have kept Chongqing's maximum temperature at or below 23°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's near-certain pricing on the 23°C-or-below outcome.** Official forecasts from sources such as Yr and local meteorological updates show daytime highs capped near 23°C under overcast conditions with minimal solar heating, consistent with seasonal transition patterns where September averages in the region decline from summer peaks. Real-time observations and model consensus reinforce this, with dew points and humidity supporting limited warming. The market-implied odds reflect trader confidence in verified station data over any outlier model runs projecting brief spikes. A late-day measurement revision or localized heat island effect could theoretically alter the recorded maximum, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions