Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF, indicate a high near 24°C in Munich on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market-implied 56% probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C, reflecting limited spread in ensemble forecasts and minimal risk of significant deviation. Above-average conditions for mid-September stem from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and allowing daytime heating, though increasing moisture ahead of an approaching front introduces slight downside risk to the peak. Official observations from nearby stations will resolve the market, with any late-model adjustments likely to have minimal impact given the short lead time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日慕尼黑最高溫度？
9月20日慕尼黑最高溫度？
24°C 55%
23°C 26%
25°C 13%
22°C 3%
最新
$12,898 交易量
最新
$12,898 交易量
2026-09-20
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
26%
24°C
55%
25°C
13%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
24°C 55%
23°C 26%
25°C 13%
22°C 3%
最新
$12,898 交易量
最新
$12,898 交易量
2026-09-20
18°C或以下
$31 交易量
<1%
19°C
$584 交易量
<1%
20°C
$151 交易量
<1%
21°C
$522 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,104 交易量
3%
23°C
$2,397 交易量
26%
24°C
$5,439 交易量
55%
25°C
$1,264 交易量
13%
26°C
$671 交易量
1%
27°C
$306 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$429 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF, indicate a high near 24°C in Munich on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market-implied 56% probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C, reflecting limited spread in ensemble forecasts and minimal risk of significant deviation. Above-average conditions for mid-September stem from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and allowing daytime heating, though increasing moisture ahead of an approaching front introduces slight downside risk to the peak. Official observations from nearby stations will resolve the market, with any late-model adjustments likely to have minimal impact given the short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,898結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF, indicate a high near 24°C in Munich on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market-implied 56% probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C, reflecting limited spread in ensemble forecasts and minimal risk of significant deviation. Above-average conditions for mid-September stem from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and allowing daytime heating, though increasing moisture ahead of an approaching front introduces slight downside risk to the peak. Official observations from nearby stations will resolve the market, with any late-model adjustments likely to have minimal impact given the short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,898結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF, indicate a high near 24°C in Munich on September 20 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market-implied 56% probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C, reflecting limited spread in ensemble forecasts and minimal risk of significant deviation. Above-average conditions for mid-September stem from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing cloud cover and allowing daytime heating, though increasing moisture ahead of an approaching front introduces slight downside risk to the peak. Official observations from nearby stations will resolve the market, with any late-model adjustments likely to have minimal impact given the short lead time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions