Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月19日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
22°C 43%
23°C 30%
24°C 29%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
9%
22°C
43%
23°C
30%
24°C
29%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
22°C 43%
23°C 30%
24°C 29%
25°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
6%
21°C
$0 交易量
9%
22°C
$113 交易量
43%
23°C
$1 交易量
30%
24°C
$0 交易量
29%
25°C
$0 交易量
10%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$64 交易量
1%
28°C
$169 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$169 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$517結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$517結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including GFS and other models indicate Munich's highest temperature on September 19 will most likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader emphasis on 22°C (43.5% implied probability) as the mode, followed by 23°C (28.0%), reflecting tight model consensus around values slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the lower odds on 24°C or warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain possible only with unexpected cooling. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the precise maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions