Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler, partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 17, with daytime highs centered near 19–20°C amid light westerly flow and modest shower chances. This aligns with the long-term average high of 19.5°C for the date and follows warmer readings of 24–25°C on September 15–16. Trader consensus around the 20°C outcome reflects agreement across ensembles on limited daytime heating due to increased cloud cover and the absence of strong southerly advection, though minor model spreads leave room for 21°C if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日慕尼黑最高溫度?
20°C 53%
21°C 29%
19°C 21%
17°C 6%
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
21%
20°C
53%
21°C
29%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
20°C 53%
21°C 29%
19°C 21%
17°C 6%
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
21%
20°C
53%
21°C
29%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a shift to cooler, partly cloudy conditions over Munich on September 17, with daytime highs centered near 19–20°C amid light westerly flow and modest shower chances. This aligns with the long-term average high of 19.5°C for the date and follows warmer readings of 24–25°C on September 15–16. Trader consensus around the 20°C outcome reflects agreement across ensembles on limited daytime heating due to increased cloud cover and the absence of strong southerly advection, though minor model spreads leave room for 21°C if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated guidance from national meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions