Forecast models from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources like the Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for Karachi on September 17, 2026, under mostly sunny to hazy conditions with southwest winds of 10–20 mph. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 34°C outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as September climatology typically features highs of 32–35°C after monsoon retreat, with limited intensification potential from current atmospheric patterns. Recent observations and GFS ensemble runs show consistency around 33–34°C, with only modest upside risk to 35°C if afternoon clearing enhances solar heating. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of official recording thresholds and model consensus rather than outlier scenarios.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
9月17日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
35°C 19%
36°C 2%
37°C或以上 <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
$18,989 交易量
$18,989 交易量
2026-09-17
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
49%
35°C
27%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
1%
35°C 19%
36°C 2%
37°C或以上 <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
$18,989 交易量
$18,989 交易量
2026-09-17
27°C或以下
$246 交易量
<1%
28°C
$137 交易量
<1%
29°C
$569 交易量
<1%
30°C
$258 交易量
<1%
31°C
$812 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,406 交易量
<1%
33°C
$5,615 交易量
<1%
34°C
$2,261 交易量
49%
35°C
$3,213 交易量
27%
36°C
$1,776 交易量
2%
37°C或以上
$2,696 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources like the Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for Karachi on September 17, 2026, under mostly sunny to hazy conditions with southwest winds of 10–20 mph. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 34°C outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as September climatology typically features highs of 32–35°C after monsoon retreat, with limited intensification potential from current atmospheric patterns. Recent observations and GFS ensemble runs show consistency around 33–34°C, with only modest upside risk to 35°C if afternoon clearing enhances solar heating. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of official recording thresholds and model consensus rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$18,989結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources like the Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for Karachi on September 17, 2026, under mostly sunny to hazy conditions with southwest winds of 10–20 mph. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 34°C outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as September climatology typically features highs of 32–35°C after monsoon retreat, with limited intensification potential from current atmospheric patterns. Recent observations and GFS ensemble runs show consistency around 33–34°C, with only modest upside risk to 35°C if afternoon clearing enhances solar heating. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of official recording thresholds and model consensus rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,989結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources like the Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 34°C for Karachi on September 17, 2026, under mostly sunny to hazy conditions with southwest winds of 10–20 mph. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 34°C outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as September climatology typically features highs of 32–35°C after monsoon retreat, with limited intensification potential from current atmospheric patterns. Recent observations and GFS ensemble runs show consistency around 33–34°C, with only modest upside risk to 35°C if afternoon clearing enhances solar heating. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of official recording thresholds and model consensus rather than outlier scenarios.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions