Current forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 17 most likely between 26–28°C, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating under typical early-autumn conditions. Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models, project highs near 26–27°C with lows around 21–22°C and low precipitation chances, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 27°C and 41% for 28°C aligns with this narrow range, while lower odds on 26°C or 29°C+ account for potential model spread or minor shifts in wind strength or insolation before resolution. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日釜山的最高溫度？
9月17日釜山的最高溫度？
27°C 52%
28°C 41%
26°C 5%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
52%
28°C
41%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 41%
26°C 5%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
22°C或以下
$199 交易量
<1%
23°C
$134 交易量
<1%
24°C
$191 交易量
<1%
25°C
$278 交易量
2%
26°C
$311 交易量
5%
27°C
$2,264 交易量
52%
28°C
$1,037 交易量
41%
29°C
$372 交易量
5%
30°C
$305 交易量
2%
31°C
$321 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$199 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 17 most likely between 26–28°C, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating under typical early-autumn conditions. Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models, project highs near 26–27°C with lows around 21–22°C and low precipitation chances, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 27°C and 41% for 28°C aligns with this narrow range, while lower odds on 26°C or 29°C+ account for potential model spread or minor shifts in wind strength or insolation before resolution. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,611結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 17 most likely between 26–28°C, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating under typical early-autumn conditions. Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models, project highs near 26–27°C with lows around 21–22°C and low precipitation chances, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 27°C and 41% for 28°C aligns with this narrow range, while lower odds on 26°C or 29°C+ account for potential model spread or minor shifts in wind strength or insolation before resolution. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,611結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Busan on September 17 most likely between 26–28°C, driven by persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating under typical early-autumn conditions. Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models, project highs near 26–27°C with lows around 21–22°C and low precipitation chances, consistent with climatological averages for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 27°C and 41% for 28°C aligns with this narrow range, while lower odds on 26°C or 29°C+ account for potential model spread or minor shifts in wind strength or insolation before resolution. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions