Official meteorological observations for Buenos Aires on September 17, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature at or above 26°C, establishing the market outcome with near-certainty as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This consensus aligns with real-time data from authoritative sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, confirming the high exceeded the 25°C threshold amid typical late-winter warming patterns in the region. Historical September averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making the observed anomaly notable but consistent with recent seasonal variability. The sole realistic challenge to resolution would involve a rare post-event revision to the official record due to station calibration issues or data quality checks, though such adjustments are infrequent and unlikely to alter the outcome at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
9月17日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
26°C或以上 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$23,735 交易量
$23,735 交易量
2026-09-17
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
是
26°C或以上 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$23,735 交易量
$23,735 交易量
2026-09-17
16°C或以下
$89 交易量
否
17°C
$89 交易量
否
18°C
$219 交易量
否
19°C
$189 交易量
否
20°C
$344 交易量
否
21°C
$704 交易量
否
22°C
$591 交易量
否
23°C
$1,334 交易量
否
24°C
$4,799 交易量
否
25°C
$6,293 交易量
否
26°C或以上
$9,084 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations for Buenos Aires on September 17, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature at or above 26°C, establishing the market outcome with near-certainty as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This consensus aligns with real-time data from authoritative sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, confirming the high exceeded the 25°C threshold amid typical late-winter warming patterns in the region. Historical September averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making the observed anomaly notable but consistent with recent seasonal variability. The sole realistic challenge to resolution would involve a rare post-event revision to the official record due to station calibration issues or data quality checks, though such adjustments are infrequent and unlikely to alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$23,735結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations for Buenos Aires on September 17, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature at or above 26°C, establishing the market outcome with near-certainty as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This consensus aligns with real-time data from authoritative sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, confirming the high exceeded the 25°C threshold amid typical late-winter warming patterns in the region. Historical September averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making the observed anomaly notable but consistent with recent seasonal variability. The sole realistic challenge to resolution would involve a rare post-event revision to the official record due to station calibration issues or data quality checks, though such adjustments are infrequent and unlikely to alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,735結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations for Buenos Aires on September 17, 2026, recorded a daily maximum temperature at or above 26°C, establishing the market outcome with near-certainty as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This consensus aligns with real-time data from authoritative sources such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, confirming the high exceeded the 25°C threshold amid typical late-winter warming patterns in the region. Historical September averages for the city hover around 18–20°C, making the observed anomaly notable but consistent with recent seasonal variability. The sole realistic challenge to resolution would involve a rare post-event revision to the official record due to station calibration issues or data quality checks, though such adjustments are infrequent and unlikely to alter the outcome at this stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions