Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 22–23°C in Paris on September 21 under a stable high-pressure ridge, with northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.7°C while limiting further rises due to seasonal solar angles and advected cooler air. The market’s concentration on 23°C (50.5%) and 22°C (34.0%) reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities for 24°C or above aligning with limited model spread and absence of warm-air advection. Updated observations and morning soundings tomorrow will provide final confirmation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月21日的最高溫度？
巴黎9月21日的最高溫度？
23°C 50%
22°C 34%
24°C 12%
21°C 5%
最新
$14,418 交易量
最新
$14,418 交易量
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
34%
23°C
50%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 50%
22°C 34%
24°C 12%
21°C 5%
最新
$14,418 交易量
最新
$14,418 交易量
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
$507 交易量
<1%
19°C
$451 交易量
<1%
20°C
$370 交易量
<1%
21°C
$809 交易量
5%
22°C
$4,107 交易量
34%
23°C
$3,128 交易量
50%
24°C
$2,575 交易量
12%
25°C
$759 交易量
2%
26°C
$222 交易量
1%
27°C
$277 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$1,213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 22–23°C in Paris on September 21 under a stable high-pressure ridge, with northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.7°C while limiting further rises due to seasonal solar angles and advected cooler air. The market’s concentration on 23°C (50.5%) and 22°C (34.0%) reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities for 24°C or above aligning with limited model spread and absence of warm-air advection. Updated observations and morning soundings tomorrow will provide final confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$14,418結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 22–23°C in Paris on September 21 under a stable high-pressure ridge, with northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.7°C while limiting further rises due to seasonal solar angles and advected cooler air. The market’s concentration on 23°C (50.5%) and 22°C (34.0%) reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities for 24°C or above aligning with limited model spread and absence of warm-air advection. Updated observations and morning soundings tomorrow will provide final confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,418結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 22–23°C in Paris on September 21 under a stable high-pressure ridge, with northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.7°C while limiting further rises due to seasonal solar angles and advected cooler air. The market’s concentration on 23°C (50.5%) and 22°C (34.0%) reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities for 24°C or above aligning with limited model spread and absence of warm-air advection. Updated observations and morning soundings tomorrow will provide final confirmation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions