Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project an overnight low near 76°F for Austin on September 22, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages around 66°F highlight the current anomaly, with recent days showing minimums in the mid-70s and minimal overnight drops. This consensus favors 74–77°F buckets in the market while explaining elevated odds on both sub-67°F and 86°F+ extremes as reflections of model spread and tail-risk hedging rather than baseline expectations. Updated evening observations and any late-day convection could refine the final reading before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月22日奧斯汀最低溫度？
67°F或以下 100%
86°F或更高 94%
72-73°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
67°F或以下
100%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
9%
82-83華氏度
16%
84-85°F
11%
86°F或更高
94%
67°F或以下 100%
86°F或更高 94%
72-73°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
67°F或以下
$0 交易量
100%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
18%
70-71°F
$6 交易量
19%
72-73°F
$10 交易量
26%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
22%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
40%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
40%
80-81°F
$22 交易量
9%
82-83華氏度
$0 交易量
16%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
11%
86°F或更高
$0 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project an overnight low near 76°F for Austin on September 22, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages around 66°F highlight the current anomaly, with recent days showing minimums in the mid-70s and minimal overnight drops. This consensus favors 74–77°F buckets in the market while explaining elevated odds on both sub-67°F and 86°F+ extremes as reflections of model spread and tail-risk hedging rather than baseline expectations. Updated evening observations and any late-day convection could refine the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$38結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project an overnight low near 76°F for Austin on September 22, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages around 66°F highlight the current anomaly, with recent days showing minimums in the mid-70s and minimal overnight drops. This consensus favors 74–77°F buckets in the market while explaining elevated odds on both sub-67°F and 86°F+ extremes as reflections of model spread and tail-risk hedging rather than baseline expectations. Updated evening observations and any late-day convection could refine the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models project an overnight low near 76°F for Austin on September 22, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages around 66°F highlight the current anomaly, with recent days showing minimums in the mid-70s and minimal overnight drops. This consensus favors 74–77°F buckets in the market while explaining elevated odds on both sub-67°F and 86°F+ extremes as reflections of model spread and tail-risk hedging rather than baseline expectations. Updated evening observations and any late-day convection could refine the final reading before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions