Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover over Tokyo, linked to a passing frontal system and typhoon influence, have kept daytime highs near 23–26°C through September 20–21. Clearing skies and moderating northwest winds are now expected on the 22nd, supporting a rebound toward seasonal norms or slightly above. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and a maximum near 30°C, while ensemble models show limited spread around 28–31°C depending on shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters on 30–31°C because these align with the latest short-range runs and historical late-September analogs under similar post-rain patterns. Updated JMA forecasts and afternoon observations will be the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日東京氣溫最高？
9月22日東京氣溫最高？
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 20%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
20%
30°C
33%
31°C
28%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 20%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
$422 交易量
2%
26°C
$412 交易量
2%
27°C
$485 交易量
3%
28°C
$734 交易量
6%
29°C
$571 交易量
20%
30°C
$364 交易量
33%
31°C
$542 交易量
28%
32°C
$1,214 交易量
12%
33°C
$310 交易量
2%
34°C
$152 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover over Tokyo, linked to a passing frontal system and typhoon influence, have kept daytime highs near 23–26°C through September 20–21. Clearing skies and moderating northwest winds are now expected on the 22nd, supporting a rebound toward seasonal norms or slightly above. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and a maximum near 30°C, while ensemble models show limited spread around 28–31°C depending on shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters on 30–31°C because these align with the latest short-range runs and historical late-September analogs under similar post-rain patterns. Updated JMA forecasts and afternoon observations will be the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,319結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall and cloud cover over Tokyo, linked to a passing frontal system and typhoon influence, have kept daytime highs near 23–26°C through September 20–21. Clearing skies and moderating northwest winds are now expected on the 22nd, supporting a rebound toward seasonal norms or slightly above. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and a maximum near 30°C, while ensemble models show limited spread around 28–31°C depending on shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters on 30–31°C because these align with the latest short-range runs and historical late-September analogs under similar post-rain patterns. Updated JMA forecasts and afternoon observations will be the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,319結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall and cloud cover over Tokyo, linked to a passing frontal system and typhoon influence, have kept daytime highs near 23–26°C through September 20–21. Clearing skies and moderating northwest winds are now expected on the 22nd, supporting a rebound toward seasonal norms or slightly above. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers and a maximum near 30°C, while ensemble models show limited spread around 28–31°C depending on shower timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters on 30–31°C because these align with the latest short-range runs and historical late-September analogs under similar post-rain patterns. Updated JMA forecasts and afternoon observations will be the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions