Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for September 21 project a 26°C maximum in Tokyo under widespread heavy rain, 90–100% precipitation probability, and northeasterly winds of 10–20+ km/h. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall sharply reduce solar insolation, limiting daytime heating, while the wind direction advects cooler air from the Sea of Japan region. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 25–26°C peaks, consistent with ongoing wet conditions following September 20’s similar pattern. Minor variations in exact timing of heaviest rain or wind gusts create the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes, with extremes below 24°C or above 27°C requiring substantial forecast shifts not currently indicated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日東京氣溫最高？
9月21日東京氣溫最高？
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
16%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C或以上
1%
26°C 29%
25°C 28%
24°C 16%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
20°C或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
21°C
$413 交易量
<1%
22°C
$348 交易量
2%
23°C
$1,644 交易量
10%
24°C
$2,033 交易量
16%
25°C
$1,042 交易量
28%
26°C
$1,782 交易量
29%
27°C
$859 交易量
12%
28°C
$380 交易量
5%
29°C
$241 交易量
2%
30°C或以上
$542 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for September 21 project a 26°C maximum in Tokyo under widespread heavy rain, 90–100% precipitation probability, and northeasterly winds of 10–20+ km/h. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall sharply reduce solar insolation, limiting daytime heating, while the wind direction advects cooler air from the Sea of Japan region. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 25–26°C peaks, consistent with ongoing wet conditions following September 20’s similar pattern. Minor variations in exact timing of heaviest rain or wind gusts create the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes, with extremes below 24°C or above 27°C requiring substantial forecast shifts not currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,394結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for September 21 project a 26°C maximum in Tokyo under widespread heavy rain, 90–100% precipitation probability, and northeasterly winds of 10–20+ km/h. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall sharply reduce solar insolation, limiting daytime heating, while the wind direction advects cooler air from the Sea of Japan region. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 25–26°C peaks, consistent with ongoing wet conditions following September 20’s similar pattern. Minor variations in exact timing of heaviest rain or wind gusts create the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes, with extremes below 24°C or above 27°C requiring substantial forecast shifts not currently indicated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,394結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for September 21 project a 26°C maximum in Tokyo under widespread heavy rain, 90–100% precipitation probability, and northeasterly winds of 10–20+ km/h. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall sharply reduce solar insolation, limiting daytime heating, while the wind direction advects cooler air from the Sea of Japan region. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 25–26°C peaks, consistent with ongoing wet conditions following September 20’s similar pattern. Minor variations in exact timing of heaviest rain or wind gusts create the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes, with extremes below 24°C or above 27°C requiring substantial forecast shifts not currently indicated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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