Official forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate a high near 15–16°C for Toronto on September 21, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover that limits surface heating. Afternoon clearing may allow modest warming, yet dry conditions and moderate winds prevent significant exceedance of these levels. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 15°C and 16°C outcomes, captures remaining uncertainty from model variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, consistent with cooler-than-normal September conditions relative to the 20.7°C climatological average.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日多倫多氣溫最高?
15°C 44%
16°C 39%
14°C 10%
17°C 10%
$10,810 交易量
$10,810 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
44%
16°C
39%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 39%
14°C 10%
17°C 10%
$10,810 交易量
$10,810 交易量
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
44%
16°C
39%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate a high near 15–16°C for Toronto on September 21, driven by persistent northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover that limits surface heating. Afternoon clearing may allow modest warming, yet dry conditions and moderate winds prevent significant exceedance of these levels. Trader consensus, reflected in the near-even split between 15°C and 16°C outcomes, captures remaining uncertainty from model variability in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, consistent with cooler-than-normal September conditions relative to the 20.7°C climatological average.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions