Trader consensus on the Beijing temperature market shows 31°C narrowly leading 30°C amid forecast spreads between official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models. Latest CMA outlooks indicate sunny conditions with light southerly winds and highs near 28–29°C for September 21, consistent with typical late-September subsidence and clear skies that favor daytime warming. Some global ensembles project slightly higher peaks near 30–32°C depending on exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and boundary-layer mixing. With resolution hinging on the single daily maximum observation, small shifts in model runs or observational adjustments maintain the tight 41–37% split between the top outcomes while underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日北京最高溫度？
9月21日北京最高溫度？
31°C 47%
30°C 38%
29°C 11%
32°C 7%
最新
$10,897 交易量
最新
$10,897 交易量
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
38%
31°C
47%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
<1%
31°C 47%
30°C 38%
29°C 11%
32°C 7%
最新
$10,897 交易量
最新
$10,897 交易量
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
$421 交易量
<1%
25°C
$316 交易量
<1%
26°C
$518 交易量
<1%
27°C
$626 交易量
1%
28°C
$427 交易量
3%
29°C
$1,067 交易量
11%
30°C
$733 交易量
38%
31°C
$6,156 交易量
47%
32°C
$355 交易量
7%
33°C
$168 交易量
1%
34°C或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Beijing temperature market shows 31°C narrowly leading 30°C amid forecast spreads between official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models. Latest CMA outlooks indicate sunny conditions with light southerly winds and highs near 28–29°C for September 21, consistent with typical late-September subsidence and clear skies that favor daytime warming. Some global ensembles project slightly higher peaks near 30–32°C depending on exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and boundary-layer mixing. With resolution hinging on the single daily maximum observation, small shifts in model runs or observational adjustments maintain the tight 41–37% split between the top outcomes while underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,897結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Beijing temperature market shows 31°C narrowly leading 30°C amid forecast spreads between official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models. Latest CMA outlooks indicate sunny conditions with light southerly winds and highs near 28–29°C for September 21, consistent with typical late-September subsidence and clear skies that favor daytime warming. Some global ensembles project slightly higher peaks near 30–32°C depending on exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and boundary-layer mixing. With resolution hinging on the single daily maximum observation, small shifts in model runs or observational adjustments maintain the tight 41–37% split between the top outcomes while underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,897結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETTrader consensus on the Beijing temperature market shows 31°C narrowly leading 30°C amid forecast spreads between official China Meteorological Administration guidance and international models. Latest CMA outlooks indicate sunny conditions with light southerly winds and highs near 28–29°C for September 21, consistent with typical late-September subsidence and clear skies that favor daytime warming. Some global ensembles project slightly higher peaks near 30–32°C depending on exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and boundary-layer mixing. With resolution hinging on the single daily maximum observation, small shifts in model runs or observational adjustments maintain the tight 41–37% split between the top outcomes while underscoring inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions