Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models points to stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow over Busan, supporting a daily maximum near 26–28°C on September 22. Clear skies and moderate winds limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or marine influence that could suppress the peak. This aligns with trader emphasis on 28°C (59% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, with 29°C and 27°C capturing the remaining uncertainty in model spread. No approaching fronts or tropical moisture are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Updated runs from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the final calibration ahead of peak afternoon temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日釜山的最高溫度？
9月22日釜山的最高溫度？
28°C 61%
29°C 23%
27°C 19%
26°C 5%
最新
$12,722 交易量
最新
$12,722 交易量
2026-09-22
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
19%
28°C
61%
29°C
23%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 61%
29°C 23%
27°C 19%
26°C 5%
最新
$12,722 交易量
最新
$12,722 交易量
2026-09-22
22°C或以下
$1,135 交易量
<1%
23°C
$111 交易量
<1%
24°C
$229 交易量
<1%
25°C
$180 交易量
<1%
26°C
$880 交易量
5%
27°C
$3,436 交易量
19%
28°C
$3,314 交易量
61%
29°C
$1,915 交易量
23%
30°C
$969 交易量
1%
31°C
$256 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$297 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models points to stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow over Busan, supporting a daily maximum near 26–28°C on September 22. Clear skies and moderate winds limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or marine influence that could suppress the peak. This aligns with trader emphasis on 28°C (59% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, with 29°C and 27°C capturing the remaining uncertainty in model spread. No approaching fronts or tropical moisture are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Updated runs from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the final calibration ahead of peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$12,722結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global and regional models points to stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow over Busan, supporting a daily maximum near 26–28°C on September 22. Clear skies and moderate winds limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or marine influence that could suppress the peak. This aligns with trader emphasis on 28°C (59% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, with 29°C and 27°C capturing the remaining uncertainty in model spread. No approaching fronts or tropical moisture are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Updated runs from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the final calibration ahead of peak afternoon temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,722結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from global and regional models points to stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow over Busan, supporting a daily maximum near 26–28°C on September 22. Clear skies and moderate winds limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or marine influence that could suppress the peak. This aligns with trader emphasis on 28°C (59% implied probability) as the most likely outcome, with 29°C and 27°C capturing the remaining uncertainty in model spread. No approaching fronts or tropical moisture are expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Updated runs from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will provide the final calibration ahead of peak afternoon temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions