Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a likely daily high in Chengdu of 26–28°C on September 21, with light southerly winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and moderate humidity limiting stronger warming. These conditions create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes, as slight variations in solar heating under partial cloud or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing can determine whether the peak reaches 26°C, 27°C, or 28°C. Historical September baselines for the region average near 25–27°C, and current steering patterns show no significant warm advection. Updated model runs and official hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日成都最高溫度？
9月21日成都最高溫度？
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
26°C 27%
29°C 16%
最新
$15,121 交易量
最新
$15,121 交易量
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
16%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
26°C 27%
29°C 16%
最新
$15,121 交易量
最新
$15,121 交易量
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
$933 交易量
1%
25°C
$937 交易量
2%
26°C
$1,540 交易量
27%
27°C
$1,808 交易量
28%
28°C
$3,146 交易量
27%
29°C
$2,287 交易量
16%
30°C
$2,551 交易量
3%
31°C
$1,614 交易量
<1%
32°C
$244 交易量
<1%
33°C
$85 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a likely daily high in Chengdu of 26–28°C on September 21, with light southerly winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and moderate humidity limiting stronger warming. These conditions create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes, as slight variations in solar heating under partial cloud or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing can determine whether the peak reaches 26°C, 27°C, or 28°C. Historical September baselines for the region average near 25–27°C, and current steering patterns show no significant warm advection. Updated model runs and official hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$15,121結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a likely daily high in Chengdu of 26–28°C on September 21, with light southerly winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and moderate humidity limiting stronger warming. These conditions create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes, as slight variations in solar heating under partial cloud or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing can determine whether the peak reaches 26°C, 27°C, or 28°C. Historical September baselines for the region average near 25–27°C, and current steering patterns show no significant warm advection. Updated model runs and official hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,121結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies indicate a likely daily high in Chengdu of 26–28°C on September 21, with light southerly winds, increasing afternoon cloud cover, and moderate humidity limiting stronger warming. These conditions create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes, as slight variations in solar heating under partial cloud or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing can determine whether the peak reaches 26°C, 27°C, or 28°C. Historical September baselines for the region average near 25–27°C, and current steering patterns show no significant warm advection. Updated model runs and official hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions